Cleveland Cavaliers - Golden State Warriors (L.James 35,5 pts) My third choice from game 4 of the NBA Finals is OVER 35,5 to points of Lebron James, in yield 1,90 to winmasters. This bet of mine is based on two axes, which I will analyze below.
The first is the purely competitive part and the deeds of the "king" so far. Everyone in the Cavs knows that losing 4-0 in the finals is quite bad and it is a given that they will give what they have and do not have to win even one match. The way to do that is clearly to play as hard defense as they can and offensively Lebron to put aside the creative part and the assists and to dedicate himself mainly to the executive. Besides, in game 1, when this happened, the knights came very close to the break. In the next two games, King James tried, perhaps more than he should, and he's responsible for that, to put more of his teammates in the game, something that ultimately cost Cleveland. Beyond that, apart from the image I expect the Cavs and James to have, the numbers fully justify this choice with Lebron averaging 34,5 points per game in this year's playoffs, in fact being the player with most 40s and more specifically 8 matches with 40+ points.
The second axis on which I base the over and I expect from L. James a great performance is the fact that most likely this will be the last game of the "king" both with the jersey of the Cavs favorites, and in front of the public. who adores him like no one else. When he left for Miami in 2010 in order to win the championship, Cleveland fans could say that they "hated" him, but in fact they never stopped adoring him. Their favorite child, and after first getting 2 rings, returned in 2014 giving a unique promise that he will bring a coveted title to the city after 50 years. A promise he made in 2016. Now Lebron, once again a free agent in the summer, seems ready to leave Ohiao again, with the divorce of course this time being "velvet", for other states with the Lakers, the Rockets and the Sixers seem ready to do anything to play for them.
In summary, both the clear game data of the game, as well as the special conditions that exist due to Lebron and possible departure, make me believe that in the early hours of Saturday we will watch a unique basketball game by King, similar to game 1 when he stopped at 51 points.
