Undoubtedly, Birmingham is one of the pleasant surprises of this season in Championship. I have the impression that even the most loyal supporters have been waiting for the excellent path she has done so far, being close to playoff positions, and although it is still too early to talk about ascending aspirations or similar continuity with duration, the only thing is that now and the rest are looking at it with a different ... eye.
After the victorious 2-1 against Sheffield Wended last Saturday, it has been hoping for the four consecutive victories, extending the undefeated run to eleven games. Common sense tells us that the team's picnic on the form is somewhere there in the ten to eleven game, but in the case of Birmingham, it seems to me that we have not yet reached this point. The reason for this is that, in essence, the very good momentum gained it mainly from the end of September and that big double in Ellen Rhode opposite Leeds. If we take note of its unbeaten run, we will see that in the first seven it had six draws, with victories coming mainly to its current winning streak, where among other things it seems to have been "solved" and aggressively, scoring more easily than before .
In addition to the above-mentioned great success on Leeds, he won a 1-1 draw at Brentford's tricky headquarters (it's not an easy one for Griffin Park), while in the most recent he left with ambush Stoke's ambush, all samples of the very good job is done on the part of Monk, for whom even Ian Holloway's statue predicts in recent statements. I do not know whether it's a matter of stubbornness or a personal bet, especially after the unpredictable but also suddenly way he left Middlesbrough last year, but Mons went to Birmingham last March and in a very difficult time he pulled her out of the stalemate, kept it in the class, and after it had been working all the time during the preparation, the result is what we have seen so far.
So can this series continue? In any case Derby is not an easy opponent (any other), but the timing is such that it leads me to the conclusion that, yes, she can. Derby just last night had the very challenging Chelsea match for the League Cup (anybody you watched, you would see the big effort but also the relatively trivial way he was defeated) and that only a few days later her visit to Riversford and the equally difficult game with Middlesbrough. Whatever he is, as usual as he is in England, it is a rather painful program, and I can not exclude it at all, and some fatigue, a factor that can be exploited by the more "fresh" Birmingham. If we take into account that in the immediately preceding case that Derby was coming from an equally high-level game (League Cup, previous round with Manchester United at Old Trafford) in the next round was defeated by Bolton, then Birmingham's fortunes are likely to rise and above .
In this light, I think that the 4,02 goalbet for the success of the guest, one of the most "tight" teams in the category (only two defeats so far) hides value and is worth a small bet.