I will share a system I tried 2 years ago, but due to lack of time mainly, I never completed it to have safe conclusions. I will analyze in great detail the whole strategy and the reasoning (expect a rather big downhill, read it when you have some time at your disposal), and at the end I will write the pros and cons and I will try to solve from the beginning any questions that will occur to you. My goal is to get your views. It has to do with live betting.
I will start by saying that this particular system I tried to have a highly statistical method of playing that would turn out to be 100% (or even 99.9999%) profitable, that is, to play it blindly, ignoring the teams that play. As we already know only around 10% of all games end 0-0 so I tried to take advantage of it, but no with Over 0,5 giving an odds of 1.10 and you may have read it several times as a strategy. This is a market called: Time of the 1st goal which is available at bet365 (and stoiximan too, but with a drawback i will mention it later).
This market works as follows: it has a table that says Time of 1st goal: Before 20 ', before 30', before 40 'etc etc that is, it divides them into ten minutes and gives odds. Depending on how close the ten minute is, it has a similar performance. My strategy is as follows. For reasons that I will say below, we expect the match to reach 18 'and if it is still 0-0, we bet on 18 and 30 seconds (approximately) for a goal to be scored before 30'. This has performance from 3.00 to 3.50 depending on the match. The only exception was only the very top teams such as Bayern, Real and Barça which gave only 2.50. All the others gave more (and I'm sure this has not changed until today as you read it). So we bet 20 euro cents (I will do another analysis below for the bet amounts) to enter before 30 '. If it has not been entered by 28:30, we bet it will be entered before 40 'with 40 euro cents and so on. I know I know it is Martingale you have 1000 rights, awful destructive method etc etc and I with you, but do not fall to eat me yet !!!
And I say that because of the way we handle it this the Martingale has a ceiling. That is, if we lose all the bets we will have lost 25.6 euros. This will mean that the match will have ended 0-0 (with the last bet at 12.8 euros). In the next match will not we start with a bet of 25.6 but damn it from the beginning with 0.2 euros and we will continue as I wrote before. If a goal was scored and you won then you would find another match and start again with the smallest bet.
As you understand, the slower the goal is scored, the more profit we have due to the 3.25 (average) odds he gives each time. But because I was lucky enough to try it with real money, I first chose to try it with virtual money and so I made a small software, my own that will record all cases of profit and loss (ie those that would come 0-0). So I went to a livescore site and started counting whether I would have a profit or a loss if I played the whole betting year, all the games (except the 3 tops I told you about above), I even counted the whole of last season.
The results were very good. I had come out quite in the positive sign and I got crazy excited. I thought I had found (who? Me) a statistical hole in the book. A swing that rocked me. I had made a mistake, something I had not noticed. What I had not noticed was that at 78:30, which we would bet on in the end if we got there, the odds in all the matches not it was 3.00-3.50, but it was 2.50 in all without exception. It may deceive guys at first, but it makes a huge difference and that is because it cut you a very large percentage profit than expected if the goal came in the last ten minutes that had the biggest bet, and therefore a bigger profit. I sat down and did the recording again from beginning putting the last ten minutes to always have an odds of 2.50 and the total budget fell so dramatically that it went quite to the negative sign !!! That's where I ate the first cuff in the face and took another good lesson that I was so naive to believe that companies that make twice a year would have made such a big mistake.
But I did not give up the efforts, I just decided that statistically you do not take them, playing blindly all the matches I mean, whatever strategy one follows / scratches.
So I sat down and thought: fine, statistically I can not fight them, but what the hell I can not avoid the 0-0 ???? So I got the ticket, I studied it a bit and I started playing with small bets (0.20 - 0.40 and so on) and I did it for 2 weeks. I mainly played the PSK that had more games. I chose first division championships and those that have the least 0-0. I only made around 100 euros, that is, I came out with a positive sign, but I spent a lot of hours, mainly because they play many matches at the same time and you have to risk another budget to play them in parallel. But I also ate two 0-0 on the map because otherwise I would have around 200 ari, believe me with the 0-0 at some point you will eat them on the map, I had eaten them from games that everyone, but everyone, but everyone, would play Over 3,5 and 4,5 and it does not mix (I do not know if you catch me), but from there I lost them. I gave up as I said at the beginning because it takes too much time to devote. This is the whole story. I will write to you in detail the disadvantages and advantages of the short time I did in practice with real money.
Advantages:
1. For experienced people I think it is easy to avoid 0-0 (especially those who specialize in goal markets)
2. You have a 1/10 chance of catching two triangles with a ball. That is, when you bet in the 8th and a half of the tenth minute, a goal can be scored even before the ten minutes you bet before and you can clearly catch the next one at the same time. And the chances of scoring a goal at 29-39-49-59-69-79 are always 1/10 which is a very good percentage of chance and increases the profit a lot (especially if it happens in the last ten minutes).
3. When you catch one game and go to the next, there is no need to hit someone who is 18 'and 0-0. You catch another that is also 0-0 in 57 ', for example, and you bet the amount when it goes to 58:30 to get to the next one, ie before 70'. This saves the "expenses" that you would bet to get there. I named it jump point.
4. Anyone who wants instead of starting from 18:30 can start from the beginning of the game just know that the risk amount will reach 51.2 if you start from 8:30 and 102.4 if you start from the beginning ( clearly higher risk = higher profits of course).
5. An alternative way to increase risk and profit is to simply start instead of 0.2 which is the minimum, with a larger amount of your choice (calculate it yourself).
6. Hasura has a ceiling, you stop it whenever you want, you do not risk losing all that you gained with time and effort.
7. The reason we bet one and a half minutes and not 5 '' before the end of the current ten minutes is for security reasons do not do any phase (eg penalty, foul, red, etc.) and lock the market for a long time, enter a goal in the next ten minutes but we not to have time to bet it and thus ruin our micro-investment (to call it that).
Disadvantages:
1. You eat incredibly much time, you have to be there to sit every 10 minutes to bet and at the end of the day you have made a very small profit, not necessarily because you ate a 0-0 on the map and reduced your profit or went to the minus, just happened to score goals early enough in most.
2. Too many games are played at the same time so you do not know who to choose and if you do the jump point I said above, it takes prudence because the chances of eating 0-0 on the map increase. If you parallel events and games at the same time you should have more budget available for any accumulated failures.
3. If you have the misfortune and start with a defeat you may be disappointed because you may take a long time to gain what you lost. It did not happen to me personally, I just say that it is foreign because you feel that you are paid more with time and not with talent.
4. The disadvantage of stoiximan in this market is simply that it has it like: to go at 21-30, 31-40 etc. and thus cancels the advantage I said above with a two-triangle sphere.
I will start by saying that this particular system I tried to have a highly statistical method of playing that would turn out to be 100% (or even 99.9999%) profitable, that is, to play it blindly, ignoring the teams that play. As we already know only around 10% of all games end 0-0 so I tried to take advantage of it, but no with Over 0,5 giving an odds of 1.10 and you may have read it several times as a strategy. This is a market called: Time of the 1st goal which is available at bet365 (and stoiximan too, but with a drawback i will mention it later).
This market works as follows: it has a table that says Time of 1st goal: Before 20 ', before 30', before 40 'etc etc that is, it divides them into ten minutes and gives odds. Depending on how close the ten minute is, it has a similar performance. My strategy is as follows. For reasons that I will say below, we expect the match to reach 18 'and if it is still 0-0, we bet on 18 and 30 seconds (approximately) for a goal to be scored before 30'. This has performance from 3.00 to 3.50 depending on the match. The only exception was only the very top teams such as Bayern, Real and Barça which gave only 2.50. All the others gave more (and I'm sure this has not changed until today as you read it). So we bet 20 euro cents (I will do another analysis below for the bet amounts) to enter before 30 '. If it has not been entered by 28:30, we bet it will be entered before 40 'with 40 euro cents and so on. I know I know it is Martingale you have 1000 rights, awful destructive method etc etc and I with you, but do not fall to eat me yet !!!
And I say that because of the way we handle it this the Martingale has a ceiling. That is, if we lose all the bets we will have lost 25.6 euros. This will mean that the match will have ended 0-0 (with the last bet at 12.8 euros). In the next match will not we start with a bet of 25.6 but damn it from the beginning with 0.2 euros and we will continue as I wrote before. If a goal was scored and you won then you would find another match and start again with the smallest bet.
As you understand, the slower the goal is scored, the more profit we have due to the 3.25 (average) odds he gives each time. But because I was lucky enough to try it with real money, I first chose to try it with virtual money and so I made a small software, my own that will record all cases of profit and loss (ie those that would come 0-0). So I went to a livescore site and started counting whether I would have a profit or a loss if I played the whole betting year, all the games (except the 3 tops I told you about above), I even counted the whole of last season.
The results were very good. I had come out quite in the positive sign and I got crazy excited. I thought I had found (who? Me) a statistical hole in the book. A swing that rocked me. I had made a mistake, something I had not noticed. What I had not noticed was that at 78:30, which we would bet on in the end if we got there, the odds in all the matches not it was 3.00-3.50, but it was 2.50 in all without exception. It may deceive guys at first, but it makes a huge difference and that is because it cut you a very large percentage profit than expected if the goal came in the last ten minutes that had the biggest bet, and therefore a bigger profit. I sat down and did the recording again from beginning putting the last ten minutes to always have an odds of 2.50 and the total budget fell so dramatically that it went quite to the negative sign !!! That's where I ate the first cuff in the face and took another good lesson that I was so naive to believe that companies that make twice a year would have made such a big mistake.
But I did not give up the efforts, I just decided that statistically you do not take them, playing blindly all the matches I mean, whatever strategy one follows / scratches.
So I sat down and thought: fine, statistically I can not fight them, but what the hell I can not avoid the 0-0 ???? So I got the ticket, I studied it a bit and I started playing with small bets (0.20 - 0.40 and so on) and I did it for 2 weeks. I mainly played the PSK that had more games. I chose first division championships and those that have the least 0-0. I only made around 100 euros, that is, I came out with a positive sign, but I spent a lot of hours, mainly because they play many matches at the same time and you have to risk another budget to play them in parallel. But I also ate two 0-0 on the map because otherwise I would have around 200 ari, believe me with the 0-0 at some point you will eat them on the map, I had eaten them from games that everyone, but everyone, but everyone, would play Over 3,5 and 4,5 and it does not mix (I do not know if you catch me), but from there I lost them. I gave up as I said at the beginning because it takes too much time to devote. This is the whole story. I will write to you in detail the disadvantages and advantages of the short time I did in practice with real money.
Advantages:
1. For experienced people I think it is easy to avoid 0-0 (especially those who specialize in goal markets)
2. You have a 1/10 chance of catching two triangles with a ball. That is, when you bet in the 8th and a half of the tenth minute, a goal can be scored even before the ten minutes you bet before and you can clearly catch the next one at the same time. And the chances of scoring a goal at 29-39-49-59-69-79 are always 1/10 which is a very good percentage of chance and increases the profit a lot (especially if it happens in the last ten minutes).
3. When you catch one game and go to the next, there is no need to hit someone who is 18 'and 0-0. You catch another that is also 0-0 in 57 ', for example, and you bet the amount when it goes to 58:30 to get to the next one, ie before 70'. This saves the "expenses" that you would bet to get there. I named it jump point.
4. Anyone who wants instead of starting from 18:30 can start from the beginning of the game just know that the risk amount will reach 51.2 if you start from 8:30 and 102.4 if you start from the beginning ( clearly higher risk = higher profits of course).
5. An alternative way to increase risk and profit is to simply start instead of 0.2 which is the minimum, with a larger amount of your choice (calculate it yourself).
6. Hasura has a ceiling, you stop it whenever you want, you do not risk losing all that you gained with time and effort.
7. The reason we bet one and a half minutes and not 5 '' before the end of the current ten minutes is for security reasons do not do any phase (eg penalty, foul, red, etc.) and lock the market for a long time, enter a goal in the next ten minutes but we not to have time to bet it and thus ruin our micro-investment (to call it that).
Disadvantages:
1. You eat incredibly much time, you have to be there to sit every 10 minutes to bet and at the end of the day you have made a very small profit, not necessarily because you ate a 0-0 on the map and reduced your profit or went to the minus, just happened to score goals early enough in most.
2. Too many games are played at the same time so you do not know who to choose and if you do the jump point I said above, it takes prudence because the chances of eating 0-0 on the map increase. If you parallel events and games at the same time you should have more budget available for any accumulated failures.
3. If you have the misfortune and start with a defeat you may be disappointed because you may take a long time to gain what you lost. It did not happen to me personally, I just say that it is foreign because you feel that you are paid more with time and not with talent.
4. The disadvantage of stoiximan in this market is simply that it has it like: to go at 21-30, 31-40 etc. and thus cancels the advantage I said above with a two-triangle sphere.
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