I mean the bookies say 1-X-2 and we say 2-X-1.
Of course it doesn't always happen but sometimes it happens as I will explain.
Cases where it is not possible:
One was Borussia - Mainz yesterday. In this match, there was no reason to play Borussia with the maximum odds of 1.18 favorites that they give us in German, but the ace did not break with any logic.
Another one was AEK - Ionikos 0-1 in 2005. AEK was going for the championship, Ionikos had fallen mathematically and Vangelakis Vlachos came out on the radio and said "leave us, we have fallen, AEK will have a healthy walk". Of course, Vangelakis was a wicked fox and would have taken something from the greens to eat irons, but here too there is no logic in breaking the ace.
But there are also situations where it happens.
I will say the main ones and then the minor ones.
1st) Alketification - Every year someone will suffer from this. But suppose we are in the Alketa year, 1987-88. We are at the peak of the Alketization of the legend in the month of November, before the advent of Taby-Agire-Funes. On the one hand, the bookies would give us Olympiacos as favorites every time, and on the other hand, they would lose all the time. What else do you think would happen?
2nd) Indifference - E.g. Olympiacos - Corfu. This is of course a bit of a double-edged sword. In any case, the favorite is no bet but it is played and not to show indifference.
If we know that the favorite goes down with the second-third, then yes we break it (but in this case the bookies will probably react as well).
3rd) Bad psychology after unfavorable results - The same as alketization is basically this, but of shorter duration usually.
4th) Avavau - This one for sure. Difficult, however, because the last one that predicted the avavau was eaten with fried potatoes at Easter.
Secondary are:
a) Absences.
b) Track condition, snow-slush. But this is something that tends to disappear in modern stages.
c) Behind closed doors-neutral. And these count for little in modern football.
That's it in short.
I have pointed out that the breaking of favors is the only way to win if done correctly.
But there is also a problem.
How can one express these with a mathematical parameter?
A performance 1.35-4.50-7.50 is done in variant logic 7.50-4.50-1.35 ; Something in between ; What ;
If one follows this tactic something else emerges:
He must play teams - competitions for which he has sufficient information.
China - Japan - Australia you play must not be played again.
Of course it doesn't always happen but sometimes it happens as I will explain.
Cases where it is not possible:
One was Borussia - Mainz yesterday. In this match, there was no reason to play Borussia with the maximum odds of 1.18 favorites that they give us in German, but the ace did not break with any logic.
Another one was AEK - Ionikos 0-1 in 2005. AEK was going for the championship, Ionikos had fallen mathematically and Vangelakis Vlachos came out on the radio and said "leave us, we have fallen, AEK will have a healthy walk". Of course, Vangelakis was a wicked fox and would have taken something from the greens to eat irons, but here too there is no logic in breaking the ace.
But there are also situations where it happens.
I will say the main ones and then the minor ones.
1st) Alketification - Every year someone will suffer from this. But suppose we are in the Alketa year, 1987-88. We are at the peak of the Alketization of the legend in the month of November, before the advent of Taby-Agire-Funes. On the one hand, the bookies would give us Olympiacos as favorites every time, and on the other hand, they would lose all the time. What else do you think would happen?
2nd) Indifference - E.g. Olympiacos - Corfu. This is of course a bit of a double-edged sword. In any case, the favorite is no bet but it is played and not to show indifference.
If we know that the favorite goes down with the second-third, then yes we break it (but in this case the bookies will probably react as well).
3rd) Bad psychology after unfavorable results - The same as alketization is basically this, but of shorter duration usually.
4th) Avavau - This one for sure. Difficult, however, because the last one that predicted the avavau was eaten with fried potatoes at Easter.
Secondary are:
a) Absences.
b) Track condition, snow-slush. But this is something that tends to disappear in modern stages.
c) Behind closed doors-neutral. And these count for little in modern football.
That's it in short.
I have pointed out that the breaking of favors is the only way to win if done correctly.
But there is also a problem.
How can one express these with a mathematical parameter?
A performance 1.35-4.50-7.50 is done in variant logic 7.50-4.50-1.35 ; Something in between ; What ;
If one follows this tactic something else emerges:
He must play teams - competitions for which he has sufficient information.
China - Japan - Australia you play must not be played again.
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