Deciphering OPAP's Ghanaian Bonus on the Hippodrome (black crows-red crows)

cosmicsports

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Now that OPAP is publishing the rake performances both before the bonus and the final we were able to decipher how this bonus works.
We never said it was not a bonus, but it would have been better if the rake were reduced evenly in all kinds of bets, even now that they had been exempt from Markopoulos rent.

To understand what happens first we have a table with the before and after odds and the volumes for the last two horse races (12 races).
We got the odds from the OPAP pdf with the full results and turnover from the "quick results" page.



Now we are investigating.

First, based on what OPAP tells us.
OPAP tells us that if the turnover under each horse race is below 2000 euros, it complements it to reach 2000 euros, while if the turnover based on turnover exceeds 2000 euros, then it does not intervene (it does not give a bonus)
The turnover based distribution is equal to 90% of the turnover - since the rake in the rake game is 10%.

With the turnover prices reported in the table now, turnover distributions are for 12 races:

2057.40, 2047.50, 2078.10, 2067.30, 2606.85, 2052.90, 2032.65, 2015.55, 2047.95, 2051.10, 2086.20 and 2112.75

So no one should have a bonus and so the original Gankan odds would have no increase!
So what happens?
It doesn't work like that, it has to work otherwise.

To find out how it works we forget the regulation as it is worded but there is some bonus given by OPAP.
You have now assumed that in a race the turnover that is played is Τ, the number of points they earn is Ν, the bonus is Β, the pre-bonus performance is u and the bonus after bonus is v (v> = u).

Apply:

u = 0.9 * T / N ................................. (1)
v = (0.9 * T + B) / N .......................... (2)


Divide the relation (2) by the relation (1) and

v / u = (0.9 * T + B) / (0.9 * T)

From which it follows:

B = 0.9 * (v / u - 1) * T ..................... (3)

From the table again we calculate the B values ​​for 12 races:

487.28, 593.20, 306.93, 401.97, 6.97, 537.87, 771.00, 1004.88, 595.68, 563.05, 239.40, 43.79

So if the gambling is real, then these bonuses give.
Why these and by what criteria we do not know, but these must have been bonuses.


Now assuming the turnover is not true, but the distributor is 2000 fixed at all times, what about the "real" turnover?

It should apply to the bonus B = 2000 - 0.9 * T, so (3) becomes:

2000 - 0.9 * T = 0.9 * (v / u - 1) * T

and the formula (3) is written as:

T = (2000 / 0.9) * (u / v) .................. (4)

and for the 12 races the "turnovers":

1796.69, 1723.03, 1936.24, 1860.47, 2216.3, 1763.67, 1611.11, 1482.9, 1721.50, 1743.59, 1993.46, 2177.1

All of these numbers are clearly below 2222.22 (= 2000 / 0.9) which is the threshold for having a bonus, consistent with the declaration, except in one case, of the 133 Horse Racing which was virtually no bonus (3.14-3.15 odds).


Why does OPAP now make this seemingly stupid, say fake turnover that does not match but give the bonuses?
Normally he had to announce the right turnover and also during the betting season to tell us "at this time the performance is going so bonus-free, so bonus-free!"
But if he did that would be clearly anti-commercial. Because he wouldn't tell us "gentlemen you certainly get 30% more than he says if you find the winner" but he would tell us "please don't play after you to get 30%"!
With this kind of bonus not to say this, it would be stupid.
Well then, let's not say anything. Let it do as it does, show bonus payouts on betting screens and finally announce what happened after the bonus.
But why is it announcing fantasy-unsold volumes that even exceed the 2222.22 Euro limit?
This obviously does it to confuse fools - that turnover doesn't work well - you play and you get a bonus !!!
But that's not the case, because as the average turnover rises to 2222.22 euros, so do bonuses and at some point they will cease to exist.
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Balaton

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This photo is taken before the random racing boxes are opened on the right is the lap.


As for you, instead of dealing with it, I would do the following constructive. From the verdict index I would split the races into hurdles and flats after handicap and not short medium to long distances and see with difficulty index up to 5 with classes <3, <4 and <5 which would make me a positive cashier starting index.

cosmicsports

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This photo is taken before the random racing boxes are opened on the right is the lap.


As for you, instead of dealing with it, I would do the following constructive. From the verdict index I would split the races into hurdles and flats after handicap and not short medium to long distances and see with difficulty index up to 5 with classes <3, <4 and <5 which would make me a positive cashier starting index.
At the top right it has a volume of 1649 euros and then below it is changed and made 2200 do you mean?
I had not seen this table during the betting season - I was watching the rest of the agencies that did not mention the turnover in Ghanaian so far.

This horse race in the picture is what 19 / 5 is about, and the OPAP page does not go far with the laps to see what they wrote in the end. The bonus started 12 / 5.
However the other page with full results says 1.99-free, 2.70-based performance and BLUE TEMPERA had won.
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cosmicsports

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But why does OPAP publish toy volumes on horse racing while not publishing for three years?
Did any law make it mandatory?

cosmicsports

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Look here and you will understand, always gave the laps to Opapp
Your first photo is 23 / 5 (the bonus had started) from the "quick results" page.
Gladnes had finally won.
It actually shows a turnover on the upper right which looks real, but we say in the end they put the fake.
The second photo is from the agency site and does not show any turnover.
I never opened the first photo page before the races ended but in the end
in the event that the final Gankan turnover appearances are always false.

I also got the EYP and said that posting gambling on reciprocal is not mandatory (a little angry).
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McLaren17

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127.0.0.1
earlier when it was ODIE (I mean before OPAP got it) if I am not mistaken it showed all the turnover or I am wrong?

cosmicsports

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earlier when it was ODIE (I mean before OPAP got it) if I am not mistaken it showed all the turnover or I am wrong?
Yes and OPAP for Propo-Lotto etc.
Now if OPAP keeps publishing PROPO I will laugh at you - it will be on the site as it is.
However, when OPAP took over the race car 2016 did not publish, Valavani's law allowed him not to publish. He did not post to avoid being commented on (he is doing well - he is not doing well) and telling him he wants a beer.
Now, in late May, he has started publishing, but as the EYEP says, no one has obliged him.
To blur the bonus waters, he fakes false numbers.

cosmicsports

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To see if the "OPAP" bonus was appealing and the Filipinos were playing Ghanaian, we repeated the previous procedure for the first few weeks of the bonus.
The bonus started in May but OPAP's quick results and (supposedly) turnover page goes back to 16 June, so we got the 16 / 10 and 23.10 (43 to 55, 13) races.

The table similar to the previous one:



From this table using the formula T = (2000 / 0.9) * (u / v) explained above, do we export the actual turnover?

1793.7, 1986.7, 1810.2, 1758.3, 1932.9, 1724.0, 2214.8, 1213.2, 1378.5, 1662.0, 1773.4, 1279.4 and 1748.9

Their average is 1713.5.


Recall that the newest set (see original post) from 29 / 9 and 6 / 10 is:

1796.69, 1723.03, 1936.24, 1860.47, 2216.3, 1763.67, 1611.11, 1482.9, 1721.50, 1743.59, 1993.46, 2177.1

and his average is 1832.4.

So there is a rise 7% (= 100 * (1832.4-1713.5) / 1713.5).

Between the 5 May that didn't have a bonus and the 12 May that started we have no data from OPAP or the magazines to tell you what the increase was in Ghanaian (what happened immediately after the announcement) but since June it is only 7%. Likewise, lucky bonuses have also been reduced.
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cosmicsports

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On the player now.
We notice that the bonus has decreased.
In the first sample (June) the ratio of yield after yield / yield before is 1.33 on average, while in the second sample (October) it is 1.23%.
32% below is the increase in performance.
While the share has increased by 7%, the returns are falling further.

In the future they may stay where they are now, that is, the situation has stabilized, they may drop further and the bonus can be virtually reset, or OPAP may still decide to end this offer.

But why is Ghanaian not a popular horse racing game like the others?
There are the following reasons:

a) Small turnover. 1500 euros and 2200 euros are not gambling. In France it's 12,000 online only - because the French have split the Internet piggy bank from the ground. With a relatively large bet the odds will drop a lot, the other who is scared and (bonus-out) will not play. This has always been the case.

b) Ghanaian does not like the Greek horse racing gambler. Anyone who plays has realized that he can't win anything with Ghanaian - he has to catch everything and have a sack to put in. Or if he only focuses on one race and ignores the others, he will have to play a lot of money - which does not exist - to get a little. The Greek gambler prefers the complex, to get 1-2 euros to 200 euros if he is lucky and to leave with something in his pocket.

c) If anyone plays he will probably go for the race favorite. You will pay this 2.00-2.5-3 along with the bonus. This is not a performance.
The 5-10-15 odds you see and come up with, who's so good at pinching them with luck?

For these reasons, the rake doesn't like it, even though its rake - no bonuses - is the smallest, 10%.
And he did not like ODIE and Faliro.
Conclusion. OPAP needs to find another promo worthy if they want to raise the bet.

Balaton

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I wouldn't be wasted in 2 months of getting a two-way 10 rake and repaying a penny but not getting paid with the 2 thousand turnover it does. The horse race that does all sorts of games doesn't just cover me personally no horse racing to see if I can fall if I believe it will win and it is unwritten.
Otherwise I think what you get out of chips in French has some bread but they want to look at what the parameters are paying you and you have to sit down to look for it.

cosmicsports

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I wouldn't be wasted in 2 months of getting a two-way 10 rake and repaying a penny but not getting paid with the 2 thousand turnover it does. The horse race that does all sorts of games doesn't just cover me personally no horse racing to see if I can fall if I believe it will win and it is unwritten.
Otherwise I think what you get out of chips in French has some bread but they want to look at what the parameters are paying you and you have to sit down to look for it.
Are you going to grab ten Ghanaians with 2 performance and not lose any? Huh?
The angels said the English want races to lay in the soil.

Balaton

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Since usually the 1 favorite wins out of the three horses running in the race. At 10 Horse Races you want 10 Ghanaian or 1 Ghanaian at every race. How difficult can it be?

cosmicsports

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Since usually the 1 favorite wins out of the three horses running in the race. At 10 Horse Races you want 10 Ghanaian or 1 Ghanaian at every race. How difficult can it be?
What do you think ; You played 60 and got 20 with what you said. You're not saying well.

Balaton

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When I say restock I mean the original bet and the profit on the next Let 2 horse performance and catch 10 stuck go (2 ^ 10) x10

cosmicsports

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When I say restock I mean the original bet and the profit on the next Let 2 horse performance and catch 10 stuck go (2 ^ 10) x10
Martingale like that.
Yes, you could, because in a couple of seconds the rake goes to 81% - when the compound is 75% and you have the bonus.
But it also falls very well.

Balaton

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Just a gangster rather than getting two gangsters a day or three to get a horse race or none if I don't like one

Balaton

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The hippodrome has less set up than the ball, but it has no turnover. I used to go down to the delta once and say I was going to get my coffee and my coffee was from 50 thousand drachmas or more. 30 didn't like it when the paycheck was 10 thousands but here we go these seasons don't come back

cosmicsports

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The hippodrome has less set up than the ball, but it has no turnover. I used to go down to the delta once and say I was going to get my coffee and my coffee was from 50 thousand drachmas or more. 30 didn't like it when the paycheck was 10 thousands but here we go these seasons don't come back
No less ball setup !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
And you won't count on the ball indifferently, Olympiacos-Corfu.
The smallest team - the Dox PAO Rouf - has a very big incentive to win when it comes to something and no incentive to set up.
Marinakis Olympiakos, when giving 2 millions to the Rivera Slab Coat, will take them out of the ... bet. Something small may have gotten out of the bet, but not set up the team!

Compare the ball environment with the horse racing kite environment.
The other one, you know who, got his teeth on the plate because he didn't let the elf set up.

Of course, well with Delta-era criteria that you could approach the race betting, the horse race pays while the football matches are very busy and they don't pay.
But the carousel is a robbery, now with a presidential decree, not just a robbery that the police might have taken if they found you.

The Ghanaian therefore promotes it because those who set up the races can easily win.
Median Drim (who we are afraid of the place) goes for the race Dodd Crai Forr Nee, we got the money. We are not looking for a second-third burst that can spoil.
Ghanaian is for those who have horses.

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