Corfu Asian 2019-2020

[kerkireos]

Relax this SK, we play a little tennis.

 

[kerkireos]

#	GROUPS	POINT	UNITS	PERFORMANCE	CLOSING ODDS	RESULT	PROFIT / LOSS
91	Mr. Ronaldo	OVER 1.5	100	2.50

It is a chance for Christian to score in the qualifying round against weak Luxembourg 2 goals and reach the 100 with the Portuguese jersey.
Note that there will be 1000 thousands of Portuguese players in the stadium, in Luxembourg there are 80.000 immigrants.

If the bet does not start we back.

 

[Ertzan]

Do you miss this week of not having a schedule unless last year you threw corresponding bets with players and various

 

[kerkireos]

What do you mean, and she's not Asian?

 

[Ertzan]

What do you mean, and she's not Asian?

I watch you like your Asian points, you just put players and tennis now and it just kind of came to me

 

[kerkireos]

I think both had value and that is the criterion in what I play, in the bet Ronaldo has 2.00, in 365 he fell to 2.40

 

[kerkireos]

#	GROUPS	POINT	UNITS	PERFORMANCE	CLOSING ODDS	RESULT	PROFIT / LOSS
79	CASTER	UNDER 3	100	1.72	1.78	2-1	0
80	NOSTRA	AH-0.50	100	1.94	2.34	3-1	-100.00
81	YOU'RE GALLEN	AH + 1.25	100	1.80	1.80	4-3	+50.00
82	WIGAN	AH + 0.50	100	1.82	1.69	0-2	-100.00
83	DO YOU	AH + 0.75	100	1.92	2.09	2-1	-50.00
84	SAMPLONIA	AH + 0.75	100	1.79	2.04	0-0	+79.00
85	UTRECHT	AH + 2.00	100	1.70	1.82	4-0	-100.00
86	ENGLAND	AH-3.00	100	2.03	2.02	7-0	+103.00
87	Slovakia	AH + 1.25	100	1.75	1.80	3-1	-100.00
88	BOLTON	AX0	100	1.81	1.76	1-0	+81.00
89	FOREST GREEN	AX0	100	1.77	1.81	0-1	-100.00
90	Tsitsipas	AH-0.50	100	3.50		2-0	+250.00

 

[kerkireos]

92

KANTITH

AH + 0.50 & UNDER 3.5

100

1.67

 

[kerkireos]

#	GROUPS	POINT	UNITS	PERFORMANCE	CLOSING ODDS	RESULT	PROFIT / LOSS
94	GREECE	AH-0.50	100	2.06
93	GIANNENA	OVER 2.5 HOME TEAM	100	1.72

 

[kerkireos]

	GROUPS	POINT	UNITS	PERFORMANCE	CLOSING ODDS	RESULT	PROFIT / LOSS
91	CANDIDATE	AH + 0.50 UNDER 3.5	100	1.67		1-1	+67.00
92	Ronaldo	OVER 1.5	100	2.50	2.20	1	-100.00
93	GIANNENA	OVER 2.5 HOME TEAM	100	1.72		3-0	+72.00

 

[kerkireos]

#	GROUPS	POINT	UNITS	PERFORMANCE	CLOSING ODDS	RESULT	PROFIT / LOSS
94	GREECE	AH-0.50	100	2.06	1.83	2-1	+106.00

 

[kerkireos]

#	GROUPS	POINT	UNITS	PERFORMANCE	CLOSING ODDS	RESULT	PROFIT / LOSS
95	WEST HAM	UNDER 3.25	100	1.78

 

[kerkireos]

#	GROUPS	POINT	UNITS	PERFORMANCE	CLOSING ODDS	RESULT	PROFIT / LOSS
96	ABSOLUTELY POINT	GG + OVER 3.5	100	4.50

 

[kerkireos]

#	GROUPS	POINT	UNITS	PERFORMANCE	CLOSING ODDS	RESULT	PROFIT / LOSS
97	ABSOLUTELY POINT	GG + OVER 3.5	100	4.50
98	AUEB	AH + 0.25	100	1.77
99	PESCARA	AH-0.25	100	2.00

 

[kerkireos]

I think the 4.50 in the GG and Over 3.5 by Apollo Pontian is overkill.

 

[Fairplay]

I think the 4.50 in the GG and Over 3.5 by Apollo Pontian is overkill.

Gg pays 1,90
over 3,5 pays 4,00

So the right for me gg + over 3,5 is 1,90 x 4,00 = 7,60.

So 4,50 pure theft.

If anything, and you see it is the over 3,50 sketch in 4,00.

All these combinations ... 1 + ov .... gg + ov .... X + under, etc etc is the essence of the book ....

the fair value is always the product of the two parameters you ask for ....

Otherwise you decide ....

 

[kerkireos]

Gg pays 1,90
over 3,5 pays 4,00

So the right gg + over 3,5 is 1,90 x 4,00 = 7,60.

So 4,50 pure theft.

By my own logic (random example) Werder Schalke 2.45 the ass. And over 3.5 goal Werder 11.00.
Werner's 1 and over 3.5 should have given 26.95; at bet365 it has always given 11.00.

 

[Fairplay]

By my own logic (random example) Werder Schalke 2.45 the ass. And over 3.5 goal Werder 9.00.
Werder's 1 and over 3.5 should give 22.05?

You are right, I am writing down the road and I said to shorten it but .
You are right .... I just wanted to say the right thing about me. For me .....
GG with the 3,5 Overlay is not an independent fact, just 4,00 is the 3,5 Overlay and 4,50 combination. Very close to each other .... so it steals you a lot.
What's useful is the 3,5 overclock IF you see it.

 

[nklaps]

Agree.

Kerkireos is right that the product applies only to independent contingents.
Here the probability of the 3.5 over contains a probability of g / g. So they are not independent.

But I agree with Michael that from 4.00 to 4.50 it's not worth the risk. I will be happy if I pay 4.00 for the overtime come and 2-2, and I'll be ok if 4 wins to nil.

Keep in mind that combo's have great rake and this is something everyone should know.

good luck having the bet.



Sent from my RedNote 5 using Tapatalk

 

[kerkireos]

#	GROUPS	POINT	UNITS	PERFORMANCE	CLOSING ODDS	RESULT	PROFIT / LOSS
100	NECAXA	AH-0.50	100	2.22
101	TOKYO	AH-0.50	100	1.52