Minesweeper

[nklaps]

The Universe laughs.
God bless premature ejaculation! ..

To be established for good luck!

 

[gdouvl1984]

The Universe laughs.
God bless premature ejaculation! ..

To be established for good luck!

Imagine in a parallel universe where there is no PP, to have played an underdog of 4.00 and one of 5.75 with a barrage of bets on each, to score 3 + 4 goals and not to be paid ... Tragic !!

 

[nklaps]

Imagine in a parallel universe where there is no PP, to have played an underdog of 4.00 and one of 5.75 with a barrage of bets on each, to score 3 + 4 goals and not to be paid ... Tragic !!

Correct.

And think that 2-3 years ago there was no Early Payment. Do not go light years away. Recent memory.

If now they make an offer "do not think about the waste, we will pay you in 90 '" we will really love them!

 

[gdouvl1984]

We said that the universe laughs with the results of the two days, but with the PP, the Minesweeper also laughs. Notably, significant bets were cut at the last minute due to performance in Nottingham, Udinese. It was generally two days with several bombs.

26/4
Swansea - Bournemouth 1 @ 4,00 € 7,50 3-3 (PP 2-0 12 ')
Mansfield - Stevenage 2 @ 6,50 1 € 2-0

27/4
Atalanta - Turin 2 @ 5,75 10 € 4-4 (PP 2-4 67 ')
Middlesbrough - Cardiff 2 @ 5,50 € 2,50 2-0

Returns of the thirty-third third miner: € 87,5
Profits of the thirty-third third miner: € 66,5
Thirty-third third miner bet: 21 €
Thirty-third third miner wins / bets: 2/4 (50%)
Average odds of betting thirty-third third miner: 5,44
Total profits: € 213,46
Total bet: 756 €
Yield: 28,2%
Winnings / bets in total: 71/375 (19,2%) 4 void
Average odds of betting: 5.88

 

[gdouvl1984]

The trust the process brings a long PSD to the Minesweeper, with the greatest interest focusing on the extremes.

29/4
Werder Br. - Holstein Kiel 2 @ 8,50 1 €
Utrecht - Nijmegen 2 @ 6,50 10 €
De Graafschap - Jong Eindhoven 2 @ 6,00 1 €
Den Bosch - Ronda 1 @ 5,25 1 €
Maastricht - Yong Ajax 1 @ 4,50 1 €
Brenda - Os 2 @ 5,00 € 2,50
Seville - Cadiz 2 @ 7,00 1 €

30/4
Newcastle - Liverpool 1 @ 8,50 1 €
Oxford - Doncaster 2 @ 6,00 1 €
Shrewsbury - Wigan 1 @ 5,00 1 €
Napoli - Sassuolo 2 @ 6,00 1 €
Aston Villa - Norwich 2 @ € 8,50 € 2,50
Millwall - Peterborough 2 @ 7,00 1 €
Darmstadt - Aue 2 @ 8,50 1 €
Sparta Rotterdam - Alkmaar 1 @ 5,00 1 €

1/5
Zion - Young Boys 1 @ 4,00 1 €
Montpellier - Mets 2 @ 5,00 1 €
Milan - Fiorentina 2 @ 5,50 1 €
West Ham - Arsenal 1 @ 4,50 1 €
Udinese - Inter 1 @ 6,50 1 €

2/5
Fulham - Luton 2 @ 6,50 10 €
Atalanta - Salernitana 2 @ 8,00 10 €

52€

 

[gdouvl1984]

Whatever starts nice, ends with pain

29/4
Werder Br. - Holstein Kiel 2 @ 8,50 1 € 2-3
Utrecht - Nijmegen 2 @ 6,50 10 € 1-0
De Graafschap - Jong Eindhoven 2 @ 6,00 1 € 1-1
Den Bosch - Ronda 1 @ 5,25 1 € 1-0
Maastricht - Yong Ajax 1 @ 4,50 1 € 1-0
Brenda - Os 2 @ 5,00 € 2,50 3-0
Seville - Cadiz 2 @ 7,00 1 € 1-1

30/4
Newcastle - Liverpool 1 @ 8,50 1 € 0-1
Oxford - Doncaster 2 @ 6,00 1 € 1-1
Shrewsbury - Wigan 1 @ 5,00 1 € 0-3
Napoli - Sassuolo 2 @ 6,00 1 € 6-1
Aston Villa - Norwich 2 @ € 8,50 € 2,50 2-0
Millwall - Peterborough 2 @ 7,00 1 € 3-0
Darmstadt - Aue 2 @ 8,50 1 € 6-0
Sparta Rotterdam - Alkmaar 1 @ 5,00 1 € 1-1

1/5
Zion - Young Boys 1 @ 4,00 1 € 1-2
Montpellier - Mets 2 @ 5,00 1 € 2-2 (PP 0-2 70 ')
Milan - Fiorentina 2 @ 5,50 1 € 1-0
West Ham - Arsenal 1 @ 4,50 1 € 1-2
Udinese - Inter 1 @ 6,50 1 € 1-2

2/5
Fulham - Luton 2 @ 6,50 10 € 7-0
Atalanta - Salernitana 2 @ 8,00 10 € 1-1


Returns of the thirty-fourth fourth miner: € 23,25
Profits of the thirty-fourth miner: -28,75 €
Thirty-fourth miner bet: 52 €
Won / Bet Thirty-Fourth Minesweeper: 4/22 (18,2%)
Average odds of betting thirty-fourth quarter miner: 6,24
Total profits: € 184,71
Total bet: 808 €
Yield: 22,86%
Winnings / bets in total: 75/397 (18,93%) 4 void
Average odds of betting: 6,06

 

[gdouvl1984]

7/5
Brest - Strasbourg 1 @ 4,75 10 €
Cadiz - Elche 2 @ 5,00 € 2,50

8/5
Spezia - Atalanta 1 @ 6,00 1 €
Arsenal - Leeds 2 @ 7,00 1 €
Norwich - West Ham 1 @ 4,50 1 €
Manchester City - Newcastle 2 @ 17,00 1 €
Plav Glavice - Lech Poznan 1 @ 4,75 1 €
Leipzig - Augsburg 2 @ 12,00 1 €
Verona - Milan 1 @ 4,20 1 €

19,5€

 

[gdouvl1984]

7/5
Brest - Strasbourg 1 @ 4,75 10 € 0-1
Cadiz - Elche 2 @ 5,00 € 2,50 3-0

8/5
Spezia - Atalanta 1 @ 6,00 1 € 1-3
Arsenal - Leeds 2 @ 7,00 1 € 2-1
Norwich - West Ham 1 @ 4,50 1 € 0-4
Manchester City - Newcastle 2 @ 17,00 1 € 5-0
Plav Glavice - Lech Poznan 1 @ 4,75 1 € 1-2
Leipzig - Augsburg 2 @ 12,00 1 € 4-0
Verona - Milan 1 @ 4,20 1 € 1-3


Returns of the thirty-fifth minesweeper: 0 €
Profits of the thirty-fifth miner: -19,5 €
Thirty-fifth fifth miner bet: € 19,5
Thirty-fifth miner wins / bets: 0/9 (0%)
Average odds of betting thirty-fifth minesweeper: 7,24
Total profits: € 165,21
Total bet: 827,5 €
Yield: 19,96%
Winnings / bets in total: 75/406 (18,47%) 4 void
Average odds of betting: 6,65


He was the last miner of the season. A summary will follow

 

[gdouvl1984]

After 35 releases, Narkalieftis is rolling out rolls for this season. In real numbers, they bet 827,5€ and we made a profit 165.21 €, (yield 19.96%) with the significant help of early payment (our team was ahead by 2 goals, regardless of whether it failed to win), which we needed 9 times! If PP did not exist, we would not have it 118,78€, huge number and the yield would have dropped close to 5%...
They were played 410 underdog with m.o. performance 6,65 and the record was 75-4-331 (18,47%) !! As some friends say, based on this percentage, the correct odds should be at 5,41 and the miner bet at 6,65. Of the 410 underdogs, they did not lose 156 (38%).
A bet with variation was applied (details I will say below), I just want to emphasize that if flat bet was applied e.g. € 1 per match, € 410 would have been bet and we would have won € 67,85 (yield 16.54%)

These were the real numbers of the first minesweeper and now I will go inside.
Somewhere in the middle of the season, the form of the Minesweeper was finalized, so from now on, you will see hypothetically what would have happened if this plan had been implemented from the beginning, which will probably be implemented next year.
This plan had five categories of bets:

• Category "5" (5/26, average yield 5,58): Very strong bets, 10€ for games with great statistical power. As I wrote before, these were the most important bets and their course would be the catalyst for the outcome of the season. 26 such bets were placed and 5 came out (19,23%) with profit 13,30€ (5,12%). To grumble a little, three of the losers equalized from 89 'onwards (especially the two, literally in the last shot) that if they came out we would have another 185 €, an incredible number !!
• Category "4" (8/15, average yield 6,54): Bets that did not belong to the upper category in the chuck, 7,5€. They did an important job, as out of the 15 that were played, 8 came (53,33%) with profit 215,25€ (191,33%)
• Category "3" (7/36, average yield 5,79): The middle bets that something statistically damaged me, but something else made me, 2,5€. 36 such bets were placed and 7 were passed (19,44%) with profit 13,33€ (14,81%)
• Category "2" (52/293, average yield 6,54): Most bets were on him 1€, and were the matches that in the chuck did not fall into any of the other categories. A normal player would not play them or watch them live, to reduce risk and psychological damage, but I am weak and the older years had shown that something comes out of them. Let's say it was Narkalieftis's salt and pepper, the beans that fill the bag. So this year, 293 such matches were played, 52 came (17,75%) with profit 31,99€ (10,92%)
• Category "1" (5/40, average yield 8,46): These are the bets that at the beginning of the year you would see as DNB or DC and towards the end, I just made a small bet of the order of 0,5€, so that I can fit them here as dry spots. 37 such were played, 5 came (12,5%) with minimal profit 1,25€ (5,12%)

So this was the Minesweeper 2021-22, with incredible fluctuations in mood, turnover and result. Based on the above, I will consider whether I will end up betting only on the possible categories, although knowing me, I will probably not change much ... Thanks to those who commented, reacted, followed and watched. I will be happy to see comments and chat, that is the purpose of the forums.

Betting, we make an appointment around September-October, when 10 matches have been completed in some key leagues.

 

[Silver]

Congratulations on your progress, profit and dedication! I would like a statistic if you do not mind ... You said 9 times you needed the early payment. Can you tell me, in these 400 matches you played, how many times the underdog was ahead 0-2 or more, how many times it passed and how many times the match came back or there was a draw? If it is tedious it does not matter, booze !!

 

[Eric Castel]

And from me many congratulations for the serious work you do first of all, but also for the profit.
The serious work is shown by the fact that you divide the games into categories and bet accordingly and this was seen even more than the -100 euros that you would have if you chose flat bet.
It would have been a huge difference in the final profit if these 3 in category 5 did not go wrong.
Also, serious work can be seen from the dedication (as Silver wrote) to your system.
You proved that the title of Trent (Minesweeper) is very accurate as well as smart.

Finally, I like that you upload all the possible mines for each PSC early on and we have the opportunity to study your options and move accordingly.

 

[Fairplay]

I am very happy when I meet people who have a similar reasoning to ours. Of course as much as different but to be on the same wavelength.
The Minesweeper for this year managed a guild of 20%.
Have a good summer in Narkaliefti, to rest, recharge your batteries and return for the new season strong and appetizing.
Without any remark from me George you have a big WELL DONE!

 

[gdouvl1984]

Congratulations on your progress, profit and dedication! I would like a statistic if you do not mind ... You said 9 times you needed the early payment. Can you tell me, in these 400 matches you played, how many times the underdog was ahead 0-2 or more, how many times it passed and how many times the match came back or there was a draw? If it is tedious it does not matter, booze !!

Well, I remembered some of them and I was confused again .....

• Of the 410 underdogs, 164 did not even score (40%), with 148 of them naturally losing (90,24%)
• Out of the 410 underdogs, 127 (30,97%) scored first and 55 (43,31%) finally won
• Of the 410 underdogs, 283 (69,02%) did not score first. Of these, 16 (5,65%) managed to win the match, but in the end only 11 (68,75%) passed. The other five just got on my nerves (except for one that was paid PP) .....
• Out of the 410 underdogs, they were ahead with 1 goal, regardless of whether they scored first or not, 143 (34,88%) and out of them only 66 (46,15%) passed
• Of the 410 underdogs, 36 were ahead by 2 goals in the match (8,8%) and 24 (66,6%) were ahead. Of the remaining 12, 9 were actually paid in advance as: a) on 18/12, Union Saint-Zilouaz-Circle Bruges 3-2 was played DNB, b) on 5/2, Utrecht-Kampour 3-2 was not played in the green and c) on 13/2, Steaua-Chintia 3-2 belongs to a league that does not offer early payment. So, 33 of the 36 previous ones were paid with a 2 goal difference (91,66%)
• Of the 410 underdogs, 87 scored 2+ goals (21,22%) and of these halves did not win (50,57%)

 

[Silver]

Well, I remembered some of them and I was confused again .....

• Of the 410 underdogs, 164 did not even score (40%), with 148 of them naturally losing (90,24%)
• Out of the 410 underdogs, 127 (30,97%) scored first and 55 (43,31%) finally won
• Of the 410 underdogs, 283 (69,02%) did not score first. Of these, 16 (5,65%) managed to win the match, but in the end only 11 (68,75%) passed. The other five just got on my nerves (except for one that was paid PP) .....
• Out of the 410 underdogs, they were ahead with 1 goal, regardless of whether they scored first or not, 143 (34,88%) and out of them only 66 (46,15%) passed
• Of the 410 underdogs, 36 were ahead by 2 goals in the match (8,8%) and 24 (66,6%) were ahead. Of the remaining 12, 9 were actually paid in advance as: a) on 18/12, Union Saint-Zilouaz-Circle Bruges 3-2 was played DNB, b) on 5/2, Utrecht-Kampour 3-2 was not played in the green and c) on 13/2, Steaua-Chintia 3-2 belongs to a league that does not offer early payment. So, 33 of the 36 previous ones were paid with a 2 goal difference (91,66%)
• Of the 410 underdogs, 87 scored 2+ goals (21,22%) and of these halves did not win (50,57%)

Ok I have no words !! Thanks a lot for all the statistics! They will be studied and conclusions will be drawn

 

[nklaps]

Good evening.

Many, many congratulations George for your "Minesweeper".
Many thanks to all of us for the work you do and for the beautiful company we do online.

You had a great season and I think that threads like yours help the Betting player and especially the new player, who instinctively goes to odds of "1 and nothing" in threes and fours and loses without understanding why.

Average yield 6.65 with a success rate of 18% and a yield of 20% fantastic numbers!

From the amazing and detailed statistics you present: "of the underdogs that precede first, only 43% finally manage to win"!
In other words, imagine what all of us who deal with outsiders are pulling. Imagine how difficult it is and how many times we are upset by the result.

I wish you a good summer, a good rest, and from September to be ready again on board the Minesweeper for new strong outsiders.

 

[JIM1]

A big congratulations for your successful season. Have a good rest and come back with even better success rates in both predictions and yeld. In fact, when these returns concern such an average, the bravos are certainly great, as is the satisfaction you feel for what you have achieved.