Cock's choices

[cocoon]

My system can see how it works here

because although I tried to explain it as best I could some people did not understand it I will write to you every day what I play. used only for the stoiximan page and only for the odds with 0% rake.

We will start with 1000 euro original cellar

we are playing the game today Portugal - Chile 3% of the cellar ie 30 euro in X with 3,35 performance as it is right now

 

[syllektikos]

Answer: Cock's choices

Very good X I think and good performance, I will follow, good success !!!!

 

[create_bet]

Answer: Cock's choices

Good evening Kokui,

Interesting work has been done, I see many acts, I am serious about smell ..
In the meantime I have some questions ...

First of all you take the rake off the points, and you give the statistical performance of the 3 points. OK
Then you are looking to find in a buck point (which has a rake since it is in a buck) that is above the "clean" point you have calculated. Usually you find the "2" since as a logic the home always takes the "game" and as next the odds of the away victory have increased.

Question 1: How is the "net" value of the 2nd defined as correct? I ask you why in this particular game we remember that it was canceled, personally I had a "early bet" strongly against the ace because the ace was played due to the events then. The game was stopped.
Comment: Companies do not create prices (most) but get them ready and put rake.

Question 2: Then you take the wrong (high) value and make 1x a value. OK. Obviously you want to make an arp (although he refused) by creating two points with less than 100% sum of their chances. Then you indicate to us an amount to play that will give a profit and is the "right". Even if everything is right, how does this amount come about and why is it selected?

 

[cocoon]

Answer: Cock's choices

I will try to explain the logic of the system and answer your questions at the same time. We get a game that is 0% rake at stoiximan (I do not know if any other company has something similar). This game is given to us with very high odds. I go to a page that compares odds and I take the averages, I subtract the rake from the averages and I get a value that is theoretically ¨real probability¨. I see which odds from the ¨real probability¨ has a greater deviation from the 0% stakes rake values ​​(it is a% deviation so the odds do not matter but 60% of the cases suggest me to play 2 the outsider) and using the kelly criterion indicates % of my wine cellar that I have to play. Rates range from 1-4% usually.
the closer you start to doing this thing the closer you are to the correct probability the earlier you do it the greater the chance of a mistake once in your favor once against you.
i don't do rhythm since i don't just play all the results kelly criterion needs 2 events not working with 3. so I get the 2 and merge it with the 1 + that I chose to play so that the actions can be done.

i don't know if your questions were answered with what i wrote to you it is kind of hard to explain them to write if you have any other questions

Comment: Companies do not create prices (most) but get them ready and rake. (I have no idea what anyone is saying is great art but the companies have their differences between them)

 

[cocoon]

Answer: Cock's choices

our first X we found it Portugal - Chile 3% of cellar ie 30 euro in X with 3,35 yield

Cellar : 1070,5


Tomorrow's game in Stichiman is Germany - Mexico we will play it a little below 1% unfortunately the odds are very close 10 euros is enough with odds at the moment 4,00 (if you asked me what I would play based on what I believe 2,06 , XNUMX great performance for Germany I would put a cent on it but the numbers say otherwise)

Now the performance is 4.15 in general there is a tendency to play more money in the favorites and less in the non-favorites always in proportion to the odds, so that until the start of the game the price of the outsiders will rise and the favorites will fall.

 

[nikos_8384]

Answer: Cock's choices

I've been working on this medium-priced trifle for some time now, and you can find such points, in different companies and in different markets, without necessarily being in the arb zone or being off-the-shelf. In this particular game the point it was before the ace fell, when the value of the double went up.

Speaking of which, the word has its own odds compiler in Greek games (I know it through the corporation). Opening odds are usually correct, but they adapt to the market and the larger bouquets when there are variations.

 

[loxagos mark]

Answer: Cock's choices

I have worked with this medium with mid prices for a long time, and you can find such points, in different companies and in different markets,

Good morning.The effect of the project?

 

[cocoon]

Answer: Cock's choices

Good morning.The result of the project;

the system i started at the end of april 2 months about now I am earning a little over 11% its not a great profit but its not a bad thing it is a bit time consuming and tiring to do the same thing and also you are gambling somewhere else you will play something no other live that you will like and you will end up missing out unless you are so disciplined that you will only play this

 

[loxagos mark]

Answer: Cock's choices

Just above 11% is the earnings are awesome, the racing amounts are around in the two months; Suppose close to 100?

 

[cocoon]

Answer: Cock's choices

Just above 11% is the earnings are awesome, the racing amounts are around in the two months; Suppose close to 100?

128 till now when normal season starts 2-3 games with 0% rake a day, in this dead season 1-2 games with 0% rake

i had a lot more profits before they started asking for licenses from online companies and i had accounts at many companies one of them was the marathonbet (russian interests) the yields it deviated so much from the rest and it had small rake that i was saying is a company for clean rinsing. In the meantime I am from Cyprus I do not know if you still have it in Greece if yes I highly recommend it

Finally 400 Euro I had put in and got 45 the time I wasted for 45 euro I don't think it's a serious profit but you are satisfied that it works

 

[nikos_8384]

Answer: Cock's choices

Good morning.The effect of the project?

Positive, but it wants more filtering and it's good to pick the spot, just before the match starts, because the sooner the market can be easily thrown out. In the example the friend, poker double, was at that moment of value, However, as the odds against it went down, the note lost its value. Also, there was an 2.60 in the stock if I remember correctly, which went above the theoretical price without any scratches and, as a primary, there was value eventually. Where the market was is below 100% at cross market prices, there may be a point in different Almost always, it will pass the second, third points etc, unless a bookmaker has missed a prime spot. It can be extended to live, exchange, pin etc, but in my opinion it does not save market analysis , to be sure of the right item and the best price it can buy.

 

[grace_kelly]

Answer: Cock's choices

Good morning.

Summary:

1) You don't post NEVER such a video on a forum with the betting sponsor. Basics

2) In the marathon anyone who has one small bet idea,

it can EASILY in early markets to have + 30% with no extras and stories.

But with 5 the max bet doesn't make much sense.

3) By playing only their 0% purchases, they have "shot" you sooner or later.

And the company spokesman has said it before here in here,

I tell you this now too (I'm not a spokesman).

It strikes me that you have not already been "closed".


Good luck in your hits

 

[cocoon]

Answer: Cock's choices

Good morning.

Summary:

1) You don't post NEVER such a video on a forum with the betting sponsor. Basics (Forbidden for more reason? Because I do extra advertising and it is unethical or I found a way to exploit a weakness ban them no problem ..... remove us and freedom of speech)

2) In the marathon anyone who has one small bet idea, (marathon to agree who you can open an account I wouldn't say 30% other 5-10% you find 3-4 games a day)

it can EASILY in early markets to have + 30% with no extras and stories. (the fools help you find the optimal size of bet so you can bet the right amount on the value bet you find kelly criterion is the google it type)

But with 5 the max bet doesn't make much sense.

3) By playing only their 0% purchases, they have "shot" you sooner or later.(They didn't shoot me and if I was in health I didn't read somewhere in the terms and conditions that there is a restriction on 0% rake I don't know if they are legally covered to do so.)

And the company spokesman has said it before here in here,

I tell you this now too (I'm not a spokesman).

It strikes me that you have not already been "closed".


Good luck in your hits

Good luck in your own vet

 

[create_bet]

Answer: Cock's choices

The average price you get varies based on the rake of the bucket and how soft it is. Go to the exchange and get the prices clear from the beginning ... does anything change?

 

[nikos_8384]

Answer: Cock's choices

The average price you get varies based on the rake of the bucket and how soft it is. Go to the exchange and get the prices clear from the beginning ... does anything change?

The actual prices are closer to the asking prices than the offer prices and when you find a maximum price on the exchange you have to calculate the commission.

 

[cocoon]

Answer: Cock's choices

we lost the second one


Cellar : 1060,5


Germany - Spain U21

10 Euro in Germany

 

[cocoon]

Answer: Cock's choices

the third we caught on 4,25
[FONT = "]
Cellar[/ FONT] : 1093


next game
Palmeiras - Grremio

Grammar win at 4,20 15 Euro

 

[cocoon]

Answer: Cock's choices


Cellar : 1078


Chile - Germany

Germany win 2,44

20 Euro

 

[cocoon]

Answer: Cock's choices

Germany wins

Cellar : 1106,80

K. Siniakova - M. Sakkaris

30 Euro at K. Shinyakova 1,55

 

[cocoon]

Answer: Cock's choices

30 euro in Germany at 1,91


Germany U19 - Netherlands U19