Types of performance calculation for half time, handicap

nomadwolf13

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23 Nov 2020
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I searched and did not find, so I ended up here. What I want is a guy who gives us the performance in hm12X, HT-FT and handicap if we already know the odds for 1x2 final. It was the closest This , but I did not understand, can anyone help?

If you do not know, a board that in addition to the 1X2 performance also has half-time and handicap performances. Thanks
 
It is not only possible with 1X2, you also need the total goals in the game to be able to initially calculate the expected goals for each team. Once you have odds for 1X2 and O / U, you turn them into odds by obviously removing the rake and then you can follow a repetitive process using the poisson to find the expected goals.

Take Bahia's Santa Fe game for the Sudamericana, for example. You have an average odds of 1.84-3.28-4.24 for 1X2 and 2.46-1.49 for O / U 2.5. These odds have an 8% rake. In order for these numbers to appear (approximately) you need 1.39 goals for the home team and 0.81 for the away team. Somewhere here you will need to know programming to be able to do this iterative process or find someone who knows otherwise you will have to try numbers by hand until you get the result you want.

If in the site you linked, in the field Goals 1 you put 1.39 and in the field Goals 2 you put 0.81 you will see that you will get a set which is very close to the odds that are now in the betting.

Once you have the goals for each team, you can calculate everything. Roughly you can say that at halftime you expect half the goals, ie 0.7 for the home team and 0.4 for the away team. If you take these numbers and put them back in the Goals 1 and Goals 2 fields respectively, it will give you a set of odds for the half which will be 2.41 - 2.13 - 4.94. The point is that the pace of goals does not remain constant during the match. Most goals come in the second half so to get a more realistic pace for the first half, you can say that you expect 45% of goals in the first and 55% in the second, ie practically in the first half you expect 0.63 goals for the home team. and 0.36 for the guest. This will give you a set of 2.55 - 2 - 5.14 which is as much as the companies are giving at the moment.
 
I searched and did not find, so I ended up here. What I want is a guy who gives us the performance in hm12X, HT-FT and handicap if we already know the odds for 1x2 final. It was the closest This , but I did not understand, can anyone help?

If you do not know, a board that in addition to the 1X2 performance also has half-time and handicap performances. Thanks
The odds are given by the betting companies ready, both for the final result and for the halftime / final, as well as for all the other points. What you should be interested in is to learn to calculate for yourself what the odds are for each point you want, so that you can see if the companies' returns match the odds you have calculated. If you learn to calculate the odds of points, the odds they have to offer are the easiest. However, if you have gotten to the point of calculating the odds of a final result, what you need for a half / final is a good database with HT \ FT statistics. With such a database, you will calculate the percentage scatter of the halves on the final result, ie for example what percentage of aces has an ace, X, or double, at halftime.

I will give you roughly a general average for the dispersion, to have an overview of the halves in the end. Beyond that, prices fluctuate slightly depending on location. In order not to confuse you again, these values ​​refer to the scattering of the halves on the final results and not the chances of the half / finals per se. If you have the chances of the final results, you calculate the dispersion accordingly.


_1 / 1______X / 1_____2/1
59,7% ___ 34,8% ___ 5,6%

_1 / X______X / X_____2 / X
19,4% ___ 62,4% ___ 18,1%

_1/2_____X/2_____2/2
6,8% ___ 37,7% ___ 55,5%
 
Last edited:
The odds are given by the betting companies ready, both for the final result and for the halftime / final, as well as for all the other points. What you should be interested in is to learn to calculate for yourself what the odds are for each point you want, so that you can see if the companies' returns match the odds you have calculated. If you learn to calculate the odds of points, the odds they have to offer are the easiest. However, if you have gotten to the point of calculating the odds of a final result, what you need for a half / final is a good database with HT \ FT statistics. With such a database, you will calculate the percentage scatter of the halves on the final result, ie for example what percentage of aces has an ace, X, or double, at halftime.

I will give you roughly a general average for the dispersion, to have an overview of the halves in the end. Beyond that, prices fluctuate slightly depending on location. In order not to confuse you again, these values ​​refer to the scattering of the halves on the final results and not the chances of the half / finals per se. If you have the chances of the final results, you calculate the dispersion accordingly.


_1 / 1______X / 1_____2/1
59,7% ___ 34,8% ___ 5,6%

_1 / X______X / X_____2 / X
19,4% ___ 62,4% ___ 18,1%

_1/2_____X/2_____2/2
6,8% ___ 37,7% ___ 55,5%
"The odds are given by the betting companies ready, both for the final result and for the halftime \ final, as well as for all the other points."

Yes I know, but I do not think it is easy to sit down and complete by opening dozens of games (which I will probably do, but not manually). What I want is for example the odds for the upcoming PSKD matches. There are tables, but most of them have only 1X2, for halves and handicaps you have to click on each match (impossible) or put the exit to dig out the page code, which I will probably do. What I want is to copy 150 matches with 1x2 odds, and in an adjacent cell to calculate the half time odds and handicap odds approximately



For example, let's the Rangers ace at 1,1 and even if I found some ratio / algorithm, I applied it and it gave me the η1 at 1,2, the +1 handicap at 1,25 etc.
 
"What I want is for example the odds for the upcoming PSD matches. There are tables, but most of them only have 1X2, for halves and handicaps you have to click on each match (impossible) or put the exit to dig What I want to do is copy 150 matches with 1x2 odds, and in an adjacent cell calculate half-time odds and handicap odds.
But OPAP has this on its page, "Betting on the Agency". If you want you can copy from there the odds for the SK matches which include the Date \ Tel. without having to click on each match separately. I think other companies have something similar. By selecting the events that interest you, they collectively give you the odds only for the day \ end.
 
It is not only possible with 1X2, you also need the total goals in the game to be able to initially calculate the expected goals for each team. Once you have odds for 1X2 and O / U, you turn them into odds by obviously removing the rake and then you can follow a repetitive process using the poisson to find the expected goals.

Take Bahia's Santa Fe game for the Sudamericana, for example. You have an average odds of 1.84-3.28-4.24 for 1X2 and 2.46-1.49 for O / U 2.5. These odds have an 8% rake. In order for these numbers to appear (approximately) you need 1.39 goals for the home team and 0.81 for the away team. Somewhere here you will need to know programming to be able to do this iterative process or find someone who knows otherwise you will have to try numbers by hand until you get the result you want.

If in the site you linked, in the field Goals 1 you put 1.39 and in the field Goals 2 you put 0.81 you will see that you will get a set which is very close to the odds that are now in the betting.

Once you have the goals for each team, you can calculate everything. Roughly you can say that at halftime you expect half the goals, ie 0.7 for the home team and 0.4 for the away team. If you take these numbers and put them back in the Goals 1 and Goals 2 fields respectively, it will give you a set of odds for the half which will be 2.41 - 2.13 - 4.94. The point is that the pace of goals does not remain constant during the match. Most goals come in the second half so to get a more realistic pace for the first half, you can say that you expect 45% of goals in the first and 55% in the second, ie practically in the first half you expect 0.63 goals for the home team. and 0.36 for the guest. This will give you a set of 2.55 - 2 - 5.14 which is as much as the companies are giving at the moment.

But OPAP has this on its page, "Betting on the Agency". If you want you can copy from there the odds for the SK matches which include the Date \ Tel. without having to click on each match separately. I think other companies have something similar. By selecting the events that interest you, they collectively give you the odds only for the day \ end.
But not pure, without a final, and not a handicap
 

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