Australian Open 2020

PETSIOS

Active Member
11 and 2016
136
50
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Good evening, let's start slowly bets on the first grand slam of the year.

Nadal 1st quarter winner @ 1.83 5/10

Nadal, Medvedev, Federer quarter winners @ 9.07 2/10
 
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4/10

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2hrs (2.00) 2/10

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1/10

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1/10
 
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Winner of the quarter-finals
Thiem @5.00
2/10

Exclusion Phase (Thiem)
Quarterfinals @4.00
2.5/10
 
1) Opelka-Fognini: 2 & over42,5 (4) Bet365 (2/10)
2) Millman-Humbert: 1 & over3,5 (3) (2/10)
3) Schwartzman-Harris: 2/1 (6) Bet365 (1/10)
 
For the premiere we go loose with the following points:

1) Sakkari -4,5 games 2,32 STOIXIMAN
Maria has a habit of gaining lower-capacity opponents now, so I think that's a good point, and probably the strongest one today.
2) Riske Niki + Over 20,5 games 2,92 STOIXIMAN
Riske has climbed well at the end of last year and is the favorite of the race. He is also used to playing 3 sets of either losing or winning so over 20,5 games will come out. But even in the 2 sets to finish the match it is likely to be full as the Chinese is a worthy opponent.
3) Siniakova 5,30 STOIXIMAN
Coming off last year's runner-up run at the premiere is not that common, but here's the performance for Siniakova is huge and worth the risk. The reasons for the risk are 3.
a) Sinyakova is a good player no matter if she is under 50 in the standings and under no circumstances is Quitova a favorite of 1,15.
b) Quitova is generally unstable and on a good day she can kill any opponent but on a bad day she can lose to much lower opponents which is often the case in the Grand Slams.
c) Quitova has respiratory issues and often suffers literally when the weather is bad. I do not know the weather conditions at the time of the race but the impact of the atmosphere from the fires is very likely to have a negative impact.

Good favorites are Strikova and Kanepi at 1,75 and Konta at 1,63 but I won't touch them as well as the premiere is also the beginning of the season and we haven't seen the players well so we have a good picture
 
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4/10

* I think it's great too, it can be played up to 6/10 for more aggressive style. Irrespective of performance, it doesn't even stand as H2H. Katsanov does better at RG and W, while at hardcourt he hasn't shown he can hit top players and has a fourth-round favorite earlier in the round. Berendini has shown more things at least this past year and is likely to hit the fourth favorite a round later.
 
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5hrs (23.35) 0.9/10

* the top up and bottom down are a little better than the rest in the middle.
 
Thoughts!

Stebe & Harris
Either they break into the 1st set 1.85-1.90 or go to TB (1st set) 4.5-5.00, with Dimitris and Stebbe overthrowing in the same logic.

Milan (aces) Over 7.5 (1.87)

Aliasim (aces) Over 17.5 (1.80)

Wawrinka (aces) Over 11.5 (1.87)

Gerasimov (aces) Over 11.5 (1.87)

Kovalik (aces) Over 6 (1.87)

Anderson (aces) Over 21.5 (1.87)
 
Moutet's 51.00 is in the game of big upsets as he did with Dimitrov last year. I'm not going to go over here just to mention it.
 
Because I had to watch and read tennis events for over a month, I said to go to AO completely conservatively and so I will continue because I was sure we would eat big poppies.
And looking at Opelka's 2-0 yesterday, I said we were off to a good start !!!

But Fognini and Millman, woke up with wild moods today and so we got in strong with 2/3 !!!

Total: + 9 / 10

PS: After Shapovalov's exclusion, RF was left with Berrettini and the "102nd Dalmatian dog" in the quarter, and so his post-match performance dropped from 1 to 2,25
 
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1) Pella-Barrere: 1 (1,47) / Thompson-Fognini: 2 (1,63) = (2,4) Stoiximan (3/10)

2) Fucsovics-Sinner: 1 & over3,5 sets (3,1) Bet365 (2/10)
 
Sakkari and Riske came out of Monday's match while Quitova was terrific and lost just the first game of the match. Of course, the bad thing is that the winnings of the other 2 points that were stronger were more than satisfactory. On Tuesday I didn't have much time to bet or write here and the only bet was Ostapenko who for some reason was an outsider against Samsonova and passed.
In the fresh. I don't like the program and I feel like one of the strong favorites will break. So I'll go with the known ones

1) Shakir and under 19,5 games 2,05
2) Risky and over 20,5
The second I see it stronger as the Chinese fights and often goes to 3 sets
 

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