Early bets

Tigers

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29 Mar 2019
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Good evening to all. I decided to only upload early bets here, most of which will be also sure bets over 10%. My point of view is that it does not need to be covered at such points because in the long run the profit is given, and the coverings only do it to reduce it. I will upload 10 with 15 points a week, and I will normally hold a cashier. I start with a match for the playoffs tomorrow from the Liga de Ascenso of Mexico in the big league. 1-0 won Duddos in the first game, in a match where the ace paid X.2.00, exactly the same as the double pay now. Absolutely absurd returns, I'm sure that when the Asians enter the game the odds in the worst case will come to a complete balance. This is 3.40 with 4 / 10.


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Tigers

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29 Mar 2019
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Answer: Early bets

Take a stroll to La Paz, Bolivia. It is quite possible here that Guabira is not even needed, and Bolivar can get it over 3.5 alone, if it helps and the scorers with a goal very hard will break the point. In any case, 1.97 has value and will drop, for 1.70 to cost. Over 3.5 with bet 4 / 10.


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Tigers

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Answer: Early bets

Not rated, AEL at Limassol's local Derby, with the reportage saying it will rest a few basic ones, since the only thing that is at stake here is the final cup with APOEL. Apollo will hardly get the championship, but of course he wants to exhaust his chances. I disagree vertically with 2.20 on no goal, I think it is more likely that AEL will not be able to score. At 1.90 max I would have it, and somewhere I expect it to fall in a few hours. So no goal here with 4 / 10 stakes.


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Tigers

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Answer: Early bets

The double falls here because APOEL is burning for the victory that will actually give it the championship from today. However, AEK is not indifferent since it has good hopes for the second place, which (if APOEL takes the cup) ensures a better European ticket. AEK at its headquarters is the favorite with all the teams in Cyprus, it has nothing to worry about APOEL. I foresee that the double drop is a bubble and the trend in a few hours will change. Because, however, the APOEL's motivation is definitely greater with 2 / 10.


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anon

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28 Nov 2017
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Answer: Early bets

You're wrong about the covers. First, playing cover can also be worthwhile in coverage where performance moves beyond the correct values ​​before the correction comes (and if it comes). This is often the case in Latin American matches when some specific tipsters pick picks. Now you're going to tell me, sit down to me to know now exactly what Wilstermann's right performances are from the exotic Cochabamba to do the best performance. Here we do not even know what color jersey wear. In such cases that you can not or do not want to calculate the exact odds then you cover before the start of the race because anyway we calculate the value theoretically based on the closing odds of Pinnacle and the other Asians.

When you make coverage on the centerline then it will probably give you the same profit in the long run compared to whether you leave it uncovered. Take the Bolivar fight. You play the OVER at 1.97 and close at 1.52 on Pinnacle. Let's say Pinnacle's odds are right. Pinnacle 1.52 gives you 61,5% probability so 1.97 has 21% value. If you do cover under 3.5 which is not the 2.5 core line with bet365 then you have 18% profit on your original bet. In essence, for every 100 euro, you earn 3 less if you make coverage than letting it run uncovered. However, if you do cover under 4 by playing 2.07 of Bet365 then you get a positive middle 1.83% on the initial bet. In games with a central line full number (2, 3, 4 and coke) goals the probability of sitting exactly at this number is somewhere 23-25%. So you have 23% coming out of the middle (just going 4 goal) giving you 97% gain and 77% to get 1,83%. This in the long run is 23.7% profit. In fact, by doing the cover you get more than to leave it uncovered. And not only that, but you also have zero risk.

Beyond that, the most important and key benefit of coverage is that because of the zero risk you have the ability to load games for maximum profit. Since you do not lose because of coverage there is no reason to fear the bet. You do not even care what to do with the result. You will surely have the money in your pocket before the fight begins. The Kimarones you gave, for example, were not for 3, 4 or 5 stakes. That's all in the head with the all-in head saying why it was obviously wrong. That is, if you wanted to play 100 euro uncovered why not put 300 with cash out? This had some 35% value based on Asian closing. With 2.38 that ended the Ace on honored, 35% would also give you cash out. If not 35, logically a 30 will give it. But even if 25 was, you better play 300 with cashout on 375 than 100 uncovered to go for 35. The amounts are theoretical but the meaning does not change. Beyond the odds, you also need turnover to make a profit.

You do well and you stakes because you can not tell him the other go play that point and load it. Nor is it keeping a cashier as a tipter with loads and covers.

Tigers

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29 Mar 2019
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Answer: Early bets

First of all, you are right how many times the odds fall far more than they should, resulting in value and on the opposite. For the Bolivar over 3.5 e.g. I write that I evaluate it for 1.70, it fell to 1.52 so there was automatically value at under 3.5. Correct what you write about covers, but forget a very basic thing. Early bets in almost all companies hit a red alert, and if you go with maxbet (as you have to do if you cover) in most companies there is a serious risk not just to burn the account but to cancel the bet. In fact, from the legal right now in Greece, the only one that has never canceled my early bet is bet365. You will only say to me that I was playing at bet365, I can not play there because I will lose a lot of points, from 15 a week, I will go down to 5, and as you rightly say in the end to make a profit, you need turnover. If I had the chance to bet four-digit on all the games without feeling the fear of canceling my bet, at least those that I would have judged the performance to have fallen more than what should be covered. With existing data I prefer to bet eg. 300 euros without cover, but without much risk to cancel it, despite 1000 with coverage, but also the risk of finding a funny trader again to burn me the point by canceling it.

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Tigers

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Answer: Early bets

Always Ready is powerful in its 5-2-1 record, a unique defeat in a match of special conditions by co-star The Strongest. Nacional is obviously unbeaten with 2 coming home defeat without even being able to score, failed to manage the pressure of the top, and now that Bolivar has overtaken her it seems difficult to unlikely to return. 3.00 on the Ace is a performance with value, the first time in the season Nacional is back with the back on the wall, it will hardly be able to react to such a difficult seat. For me the favorite of the match is the home team, at 2.30 I would give the ace. I guess the Asians will agree with me, and when they make odds the favorite will change. Stake 5 / 10.


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Tigers

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Answer: Early bets

Colombia Cup with Jaguars actually hopes for a small miracle to qualify as it is last and looking only for extreme combination of results in the last 2 racing. Pérera, on the other hand, is definitely in the first place and now seals the qualification in the next round. Jaguares can compete in the Liga Aguila, and Péterra in the second division, but from time to time it is very likely that things are completely different. The home side claims with the rise, while the guests are the last in the special demo rating and the first favorite to fall. And 2 teams will make changes to this race, but even so 2.70 is just a challenge, it is not the timeless non-existent except Monterey Jaguars to be the favorite. I take it for granted that Peirera will be the favorite, for 2.10 max is the ace. 5 / 10 and here.


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Tigers

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Answer: Early bets

Continue again with Colombian cup and group A, the same with the game above. Enigados is looking for the win to continue hoping for qualifying, since 2 racing before the end is 4 points behind her current rival. Leones will be conservative for 0-0 that if Jamagares does not win in the other game, she will give her the qualification and math from today. And 2 teams rely on their good defense, I find it extremely difficult to open the rhythm of the race. Indicatively I mention that in 0-0 of the first race between them at the headquarters of Leones the under at Pinnacle was closed at 1.44. Huge mistake 2.05, for 1.60 the lot is. Stake 7 / 10.


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Tigers

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Answer: Early bets

In a free fall, San Lorenzo counts 8 defeats and a draw in the last 9 matches. Solomon, after a very bad set before, seems to find herself at last, and to give her the basis of her real potential. 2 easy victories in 2 last games with Henral Daha, and Nacional with convincing appearances, and her assault on flying fires. 2 teams have a great deal of difference in it, even if it was a formidable one, San Lorenzo could still not justify returning favorites against Sol, let alone when they are in a free fall. It's inconceivable that the 2.70 of the double is played with closed eyes. 6 / 10.


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Tigers

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Answer: Early bets

It was a long time ago that Medellin's big derby ended, with Nacional being the one with 1-0. This defeat makes it difficult for Medeigin to prevent the play off, but there are still hopes for it and it's a good idea to give it all in the next 3 games to make the ultimate and make it to the eighth. Petrolera is in a bad shape and counts 6 games without winning. It is funny to give the ace an ace first, in no case the double should not pay over 2.50. 4 / 10.


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Tigers

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Answer: Early bets

Ons Caldas is by far the most molded team in the category (regardless of the results in the last 1.5 month playing the most beautiful football in the country) a few hours ago dissolved 4-0 Kali and keeps the fate in her hands in play off . Atletico Willi is a small and medium-sized team with no team-based base who is struggling almost every year for staying. It does not need many words, it doubles the 3.20. 6 / 10.


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Tigers

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Answer: Early bets

It is a great joke to the 1.25 of Willy, to find the strength to endure such a favorite in the hamlet; Even though its opponent is Torneo Aguila, who ignores the 13 0 victory, 7-6-2. In the cup, however, the 9 teams ranked first with 2 points, and with a hand now qualifying hands without having to wait for the last game. Because I only play if I'm sure a match is set (that is, never) I go to x4 with 10 / 2.5. I also choose under 2.15 which I think is the worst case with the over and I can find it in 4. And this 10 / XNUMX.


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Tigers

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Answer: Early bets

Be well, I wish you many coffins. At 3.50, I see this time with the change of rake, bet365 the double of Onse Caldas. I was rushing to play it on others, but I did not expect the green to be so generous. I like it that the Asians expected to make a return to safety and to lower the rake. I, however, in the position of trader security would only feel if I had the odds upside down. To see who will be justified in the end.

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Tigers

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29 Mar 2019
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Answer: Early bets

We go to a women's game that starts in a short time (3: 00) Puebla - Tigers first match for the first round of the play off, followed by the rematch at the Tigers headquarters. The defense of the home team after the 16 fights ended with a record of 13 for 10 against 1 at group 36. The Tigers in their own group had an 12-2.10 account, but most of the goals were against teams with a much lower dynamics than their current opponent. 2.5 at under XNUMX is bigger than it should be.
4 / 10.

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Tigers

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29 Mar 2019
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Answer: Early bets

1.72 on live after just 4 minutes under. That is where he had to be before the center.

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Tigers

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29 Mar 2019
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Answer: Early bets

Let's make an account after the first 11 bets are completed

1) CIMARRONES (1) (3.4) (4 U) LOST - 4
2) BOLIVAR (O) (1.97) (4 U) LOST -8
3) APOLLON L. (NG) (2.2) (4 U) LOST-12
4) AEK L. (1) (3.6) (2 U) WON-6.8
5) ALWAYS R. (1) (3.00) (5U) LOST - 11.8
6) D. PEREIRA (1) (2.7) (5 U) WON - 3.3
7) ENVIGADO (U) (2.05) (7 U) WON + 4.05
8) SOL (2) (2.7) (6 U) WON + 14.25
9) 2) 3.75 4 XONUMX WON + 25.25 10 HUILA (2.15 U) WON + 4 29.85 PUEBLE W. (11) 2.1 U LOST + 4

BETS: 11
6W - 5L
STAKED: 51
RETURNED: 76.85
PROFIT: + 25.85
YIELD: + 33.63%


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Tigers

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29 Mar 2019
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Answer: Early bets

When it comes to 1000 bets, I'm sure the yield will be around + 1%. If I had a goal I would be surpassing 20%. And all this with races in which: 25. the yields do not immediately dissolve, 1. do not have funny limits, and have the ability to bet at least one respectable amount, 2. They are offered for wager at worst by 3 companies at the same time.

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stpsilan

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25 Oct 2017
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Answer: Early bets

When it comes to 1000 bets, I'm sure the yield will be around + 1%. If I had a goal I would be surpassing 20%. And all this with races in which: 25. the yields do not immediately dissolve, 1. do not have funny limits, and have the ability to bet at least one respectable amount, 2. They are offered for wager at worst by 3 companies at the same time.

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Well, for the time you spend and the specialization you have in Latin America, 20% is feasible.
The barriers will just eat them in a month with the breeze, you do not get away with anything
So if I open an account now and put 100 euros and start playing what you give, in a few days they send the FBI

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