jazz lay20

From: jazz lay20

My opinion to forget horse racing under 2m.
I agree with the friend who says that the psoriasis will make her in the fast races.

Also be careful with virtual accounts and bets.
So to get rid of it, throw a dice because Bf believes that virtual bets are used for data mining and the use of charts to check and draw conclusions.
People have been banished.

I wish I could deny it anyway but I believe that Bf always expresses the possibility of the horse at that moment.
I have made a similar effort, with money in fact.
The appearance of the winning horse at odds of 2,00 guessed what it was ...
Right, 50% !!!!!!!
And we are talking in running, in a few words, it was either ati or psoralogo, when bf gave live at 2,00 it came out ...
In any case, however:

Good luck in your endeavor!
 
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From: jazz lay20

My opinion to forget horse racing under 2m.
I agree with the friend who says that the psoriasis will make her in the fast races.

Also be careful with virtual accounts and bets.
So to get rid of it, throw a dice because Bf believes that virtual bets are used for data mining and the use of charts to check and draw conclusions.
People have been banished.

I wish I could deny it anyway but I believe that Bf always expresses the possibility of the horse at that moment.
I have made a similar effort, with money in fact.
The appearance of the winning horse at odds of 2,00 guessed what it was ...
Right, 50% !!!!!!!
And we are talking in running, in a few words, it was either ati or psoralogo, when bf gave live at 2,00 it came out ...
In any case, however:

Good luck in your endeavor!

We have discussed it again in football.
In GENERAL LINES the performance corresponds to the probability of its occurrence.
BUT specifically for betfair there is a differentiation that I had proven with evidence:
In GREAT PERFORMANCES betfair goes VERY far !!!
That is, while in the small odds, which are of course the favorites, the differences with the "conventional" books are small, in the big odds, the deck is lost. That is why I had and still have my objections to "Skoupidiaris".
That is, a horse that in bf has an odds of 100 on the other bucks will be almost half !!

Which of the two odds is CLOSER to the odds?
 
From: jazz lay20

to give an example from football.
I randomly choose a match today: La Coruna - Alcocorn.
In the 1X2 market
betfair: 1,64 - 4,00 - 6,40 (no commission)
bet365: 1,61 - 3,75 - 5,50

We see that the differences in favor of bf for 1X2 are
1,86% - 6,67% - 16,36% !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

what do we observe? that practically for the favorite we have the SAME prices so here the "probable" agree. As we move towards the underdog the differences grow beyond bf. That is, bf gives a double chance of 15,63% while bet365 gives 18,18%. And okay there is no difference here.
But let's go below
 
From: jazz lay20

for the same match the score is 0-3
IN FAVOR to bf: 120,00 (AT 160,00!)
at bet365: 51,00

here the difference in favor of befair is 135,29% !!!!!!!!!!!!!!
We are talking 51 to 120 !!!! More than double !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Who is "right" here? Which performance best reflects its probability of occurrence?

My answer is clear: bet365 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

The 120 of bf is unlikely, unreal and due to
NATURE OF BETFAIR !!!!!!!!!!
That is, it is an EXCHANGE and the law of supply-demand prevails, which determines that the more improbable the event, the more, the more improbably an improbable event is overestimated.

Do you understand what is happening with the KATA odds. Here it is 160,00 !!!
More than THREE times the bet365 odds !!!!!
That's why a super-garbage man with odds over 100,00 is CONDEMNED !!

I repeat that the match I chose is RANDOM.
Take WHAT match you want.
The higher the yield, the more the bf yields are fired.

You can find the favorite of 2,00 mentioned by Larry almost the same in all the books and at Betfair !!!
 
From: jazz lay20

Here is another example
Man City - Bolton score 0-2
bet365: 101,00
befair: 450,00 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
From: jazz lay20

as long as this system is right for the length of the route.
From today I will do the following:
I will bet REAL money:
- over 1m4f - 1 euro
- over 2m - 2 euros.

I abandon the small ones completely.
 
From: jazz lay20

because I do not know ...
how are the lengths of the routes? Is it standard?
That is, from 1m4f to 2m there are other lengths;
Or do we go straight from 1m4f to 2m?
 
From: jazz lay20

wow wow "scratching" remains minimal.
Today it has a total of 35 races.

nvnkeu.jpg



If I take out the ones that have less than 8 horses and the ones that are less than 1m4f, there are only 10 left!

sq385s.jpg


Anyway I go with these 10. They are few because a horse does not fit in all.
 
From: jazz lay20

gam ... I have eaten a yellow card from bf for bets under 2 euros otherwise I would have checked them ALL. I would put 0,1 euros in everything and then I would process them just fine. I'm afraid they will shoot me though
 
From: jazz lay20

as long as this system is right for the length of the route.
From today I will do the following:
I will bet REAL money:
- over 1m4f - 1 euro
- over 2m - 2 euros.

I abandon the small ones completely.

I have also seen 1m6f but rarely.
 
From: jazz lay20

Here is another example
Man City - Bolton score 0-2
bet365: 101,00
befair: 450,00 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

That is (x * 450) / 101 = about 4,4? : eye:
 
From: jazz lay20

What happened today, no bets matched?

Beware of SK because it has several donkeys that call them favorites ...: agis:

And more donkeys that eventually win ...: fish:
 
From: jazz lay20

gam ... I have eaten a yellow card from bf for bets under 2 euros otherwise I would have checked them ALL. I would put 0,1 euros in everything and then I would process them just fine. I'm afraid they will shoot me though

Jazz, swamp in test mode and times 2-3 seconds instead of fractions. You are more interested in the history in excel
That way you do not risk cards.
 
From: jazz lay20

very strange day today.
Two horses were forcibly matched in the last two races.
Fortunately I won

wlyrmd.jpg
 
From: jazz lay20

while in football my systems suffered a lot, my little horses did not betray me. Nice day. 11 to 11. All races from 2m and up

23svkv5.jpg
 
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From: jazz lay20

It's okay to go anyway. Did you have any filters on it? I have in mind my kennel 2 ...: eye:
 
From: jazz lay20

today De / 05/03/12 I fell asleep dry without putting the market feeder pro.
When I woke up there were 4 races left.
They matched two. Won.

2gxo2e9.jpg


so the general fund goes

141v08z.jpg
 

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