NBA ATS SYSTEM

[jmarkog]

First let's explain what ATS means

ATS: Against The Spread

Now in 2-way handicap, some points advantage is given to one team, so that the odds are equal, usually close to 1.90.
For e.g. in tonight's Chicago-San Antonio match, San Antonio is favored in the simple victory, so an advantage (spread) of 3.5 points has been given to the Bulls. This means that if San Antonio wins by 4 points and above, the point is double, while if Chicago or San Antonio wins by 3 points, the point is ace. Usually in most companies the extension is included, only in OPAP this does not apply.

This system that try on is based on the fact that according to m.o. the teams close the year at around 50% against the handicap. Some are above this, others below this percentage. The list currently looks like this:

The goal of the system is:

1st against the teams that cover the handicap for at least 4 consecutive games (overall or home or away)
2nd to bet on the teams that have to cover 4 consecutive handicap games(total or on-site or off-site)

I will start with a bet of n units, if I succeed with the first one there will be a profit, otherwise the next time I will bet 2n, 4n and so on, until the team is covered and I have a profit.

I will consider the performance I play 1.91

For tonight, the teams that meet the criteria are:

Philadelphia 7-0
Orlando 5-0
Miami 4-0

Detroit 0-4

This is how I bet:

New York Knicks(+2) v Philadelphia 76ers-->1 @ 1.91
Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic(+1)-->1 @ 1.91
Houston Rockets v Miami Heat (+3.5)-->1 @ 1.91
Detroit Pistons (+2.5) v New Orleans Hornets -->1 @ 1.91

X 10 units each

Attention, the bet is currently virtual

 

[taskos]

good luck with your system jm
it is quite interesting

 

[patrickdrd]

I will start with a bet of n units, if I succeed with the first one there will be a profit, otherwise the next time I will bet 2n, 4n and so on, until the team is covered and I have a profit.

very good idea sounds johny,
but watch out for the "George" system above because he can drive

 

[jmarkog]

1st day

Day 1 results:

New York Knicks(+2) v Philadelphia 76ers-->1 @ 1.91 97-107 LOST
Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic(+1)-->1 @ 1.91 88-106 LOST
Houston Rockets v Miami Heat (+3.5)-->1 @ 1.91 93-86 WON
Detroit Pistons (+2.5) v New Orleans Hornets -->1 @ 1.91 85-91 LOST


1 in 4 mono, broke Miami, so -20.9 points tally

For today, the criteria are met by Phoenix, where they are 0-4 ATS recently, so one option:

Toronto Raptors(+3) v Phoenix Suns-->2 @ 1.91 X 10 units

Remember to take into account not only the overall streaks but also the within-outside teams...

 

[jmarkog]

Finally, I will include the streaks in the indoor-outdoor games, so that we have a larger sample... I am waiting for the result of Phoenix to post the next game...

 

[g10vanni]

Sounds good! Let's continue to see...

Anyway, what I've been thinking about is to start at some point playing over all the teams with the handicap. I believe that more often the teams with the advantage win, than those who have some difference to cover.

 

[jmarkog]

Toronto Raptors(+3) v Phoenix Suns-->2 @ 1.91 113-117 WON

With a shot in stoppage time, the score was decided, so we went to the fund -11.8

In the 2nd game where Oklahoma is 9-0 ATS at home..therefore

Oklahoma City Thunder V Miami Heat(+1)-->2 @ 1.91 X 10 units

 

[patrickdrd]

nice johnny,
and the other will write, I believe,
if marion is given questionable

 

[jmarkog]

Oklahoma City Thunder V Miami Heat(+1)-->2 @ 1.91 94-104 WON

Fund at -2.7 units...I'll be back in a bit because today for some reason the games start early

 

[patrickdrd]

after you go
you have both

 

[jmarkog]

after you go
you have both

I haven't played the system ones yet, I'm actually against some of them... I'm waiting for them to make a line for the 76ers game so I can post today's

 

[patrickdrd]

Well, you have it in virtual then

 

[SPYRIDON]

 

[jmarkog]

For today the series in trends are:

Philadelphia 8-0 overall
Minnesota 6-0 out
Detroit 0-5 overall
Memphis 0-5 in total
Lakers 0-4 int


Because Detroit and Memphis are playing each other obviously I'll leave it...well 3 games only:

Philadelphia 76ers-Dallas Mavericks (+4.5)-->2 @ 1.91 X 20 units (2nd series against)
Los Angeles Clippers(+6)-Minnesota Timberwolves-->1 @ 1.91 X 10 units
Los Angeles Lakers-Cleveland Cavaliers(+4)-->1 @ 1.91 X 10 units

 

[jmarkog]

Philadelphia 76ers-Dallas Mavericks(+4.5)-->2 @ 1.91 93-95 WON
Los Angeles Clippers(+6)-Minnesota Timberwolves-->1 @ 1.91 86-94 LOST
Los Angeles Lakers-Cleveland Cavaliers(+4)-->1 @ 1.91 105-88 WON

The fund is mostly positive + 14.2 units

For today we have:

Minnesota 7-0 away
Indiana 4-0 overall

San Antonio Spurs-Indiana Pacers(+7.5)-->1 @ 1.91 X 10 units
Utah Jazz-Minnesota Timberwolves (+8.5)-->1 @ 1.91 X 20 units (2nd vs.)

 

[patrickdrd]

nice john
let's start throwing

today things are slightly more difficult,
because the giants are big

 

[jmarkog]

San Antonio Spurs-Indiana Pacers(+7.5)-->1 @ 1.91 99-81 WON
Utah Jazz-Minnesota Timberwolves(+8.5)-->1 @ 1.91 112-107 LOST

Minnesota continues to cover...the fund on +3.52 units...later than today's

 

[jmarkog]

For today things have:

Charlotte 4-0 overall
Memphis 0-6 in total
New Jersey 0-4 overall

Charlotte Bobcats-Memphis Grizzlies (+6.5) ->[email protected] X 10 units
New Orleans Hornets-New Jersey Nets(+6)-->2 @ 1.91 X 10 units

 

[Denistone]

GOOD LUCK

VERY INTERESTING SYSTEM

 

[patrickdrd]

For today things have:

Charlotte 4-0 overall
Memphis 0-6 in total
New Jersey 0-4 overall

Charlotte Bobcats-Memphis Grizzlies (+6.5) ->[email protected] X 10 units
New Orleans Hornets-New Jersey Nets(+6)-->2 @ 1.91 X 10 units

I also liked nj as a first thought,
but they fell on their faces and tore up the match,
to 5 plus the handicap from 6,5,
and of course I don't touch anymore