NFL & NCAA Football - Mastic's Picks 2012-2013

Answer: NFL & NCAA Football - Mastic's Picks 2012-2013

I agree with prop-bet, it seems quite strong, I achieved some others that made sense to me, such as, A team to score three consecutive times - no, and total field goals over 3.5 ... both have quite good prices.
 
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Answer: NFL & NCAA Football - Mastic's Picks 2012-2013

I agree with prop-bet, it seems quite strong, I achieved some others that made sense to me, such as, A team to score three consecutive times - no, and total field goals over 3.5 ... both have quite good prices.

Be careful about whether a team will score 3 times in a row. While at first glance it looks very good it may not be. Just a few days ago I was reading something about this bet and the information I read was:

(I make a Copy-Paste and note that the data is not mine but I just put it for the sake of discussion.)

Games in which one team scored 3 consecutive times (2012 Regular Season):
Week 1: 13-3
Week 2: 13-3
Week 3: 13-3
Week 4: 10-6
Week 5: 9-5
Week 6: 10-4

Week 7: 4-8
Week 8: 7-7
Week 9: 8-6
Week 10: 7-7
Week 11: 11-3
Week 12: 11-5
Week 13: 6-10
Week 14: 13-3
Week 15: 13-3
Week 16: 11-5
Week 17: 11-5
OVERALL IN ALL REGULAR SEASON GAMES: 170-86

In all games involving the 49ers, there were 3 consecutive scores by one team in 11 out of 16 games (69% of the time!). Ironically, we find the same record for the Ravens (11-5,69%).


How has this bet performed in recent Super Bowls?
2012: WON… BOTH the Giants AND Pats scored 3 consecutive times.
2011: Lost… We had two consecutive scores by each team (Steelers and Packers)
2010: WON... The Saints closed the game out with 3 consecutive scores
2009: WON... Cardinals with 3 consecutive scores.

So we are 3-1 (75%) with 3 consecutive score prop.
 
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Answer: NFL & NCAA Football - Mastic's Picks 2012-2013

Super Bowl

San Francisco 49ers - Baltimore Ravens
Pick 1: Baltimore Ravens + 4 @ 1.95 - Won (31-34)
Pick 2: Baltimore Ravens ML @ 2.70- Won (31-34)

It's very difficult to predict a winner at this level of play but I can not help but go with the stakes which I consider to be very valuable. Two top teams and one gets 4 ATS points and also 2.70 odds to win. It is not at all unlikely that Baltimore will win. There is definitely an aura that follows Kaepernick and how he took over the team in the middle of the year and led it here. Also how he turned the game around with Atlanta losing by 17 at some point. He is undoubtedly a gambler.
On the other hand we have Ray Lewis and his defense that kept New England in just a touchdown in the previous game and won the ticket to the Super Bowl. Kaepernick will definitely feel them.

There is also a Prop bet that piqued my interest

Joe Flacco 1st rushing attempt will be? Over 1.5 yards @ 1.847 - Made no effort (Pinnacle)
I believe that if QB needs to run then he will be pressured and he will have seen a hole to run. If he dares, I believe it will be over 1.5 yards. For Kaepernick it is 5.5 yards.

I had forgotten to put the results of my bets from the Super Bowl and decided to do it even late and make a "sum" in my final record for this year.
For the first time in recent years my record here at infobeto has been negative. At least in the Superbowl I did very well and finished the season on a positive note.
I did not have the time to deal with the college championship this year and in the end I did not make any predictions. I did not want to put anything to just put.
I hope next time we go better. Anyway, I miss the NFL!

______________

Final Record: 2012 - 2013 Season

NCAAF: 0-0-0
NFL: 25-32-3
 
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