Sans Voir

[nik19761999]

I had noted it at 5,50.
It went to 4,75.
The bird flew .

Waiting live

 

[nklaps]

Good evening.
Let's see the matches of PSK that passed the 1st selection and that we liked.

4/10 FRA2 Lorient - Ajaccio (5.25)

4/10 FRA2 Nancy - Nior (4.75)

4/10 WAL1 Caernarfon (5.50) - TNS

5/10 ENGCH Fulham - Charlton (8.50)

5/10 ESP1 Real - Granada (9.50)

5/10 CZE1 Sparta Prague - Karvina (17.00)

6/10 BEL1 Bruges - Ghent (5.25)

6/10 BEL1 KRC Genk - Mouscron (6.00)

6/10 SWE2 Halmstad - Norby (8.00)

6/10 BRA1 Ceara - Goias (4.50)

Who wants to take a look. Everything has "something" but it also has a contradiction.
We do not yet know what pregame we will choose in the end and if we choose.
Fairplay likes Granada and Norby. To me more Charlton and the "asymmetric" of the Czech Republic. Whatever.

As a "simple reference to the match sheet" the CRB playing (away of course of course) early Friday morning with America Miner. Here the match is "hell" from a statistical point of view because it plays a team formed with 5/6 victories in the last with a team also formed with 5/7 victories in the last and which is the best away team. The double is 5.25, it may well come, but I have the feeling that at 5.25 I would get a small return for the match data. The match is something in 45-30-25 and with a 6 in the double or with decent DNB, (since the match has a lot of X) we could discuss it. On the other hand, who sits to see it at such a time live ...

Finally we close with Bolton who plays Monday with the note to see where her performance will go, because some (we do not say names) have ... an obsession with Bolton.

The study continues.

 

[giannisthegreek]

I like Norbi

 

[Eric Castel]

Me Naomi

 

[nklaps]

Me Naomi

We will bring it to the sans voir. Michalis has undertaken the relevant ... contacts!
So far I can tell you.

 

[Fairplay]

Me Naomi

Take it .... all yours ..

 

[giannisthegreek]

Me Naomi

That is what I wanted to say

 

[kerkireos]

I went in to write about Charlton, I didn't have to.

 

[nklaps]

Saturday 5/10 14:30

Fulham - Charlton 2 @ 8.75 (Sportingbet)

 

[nklaps]

Foula's uniform

Difficult thing when you have a lot of bet candidates in the 1st selection to have to decide what to play. Ideally, you want what you play to pass and what you let go of the bucket. You wish...
The other solution is to fold everything and get rid of the dilemmas. But we could not leave this bet because among other things we were impressed.

Fulham (1.40) - Charlton (8.75)

1. We leave aside the axiom that such returns in England raise a lot of debate. Let it be. But you say that the teams must logically be separated by the abyss to give the double close to 9.00. You look at the scores after 10 games and the teams are separated by only one point. Why 8.75?

2. You say afterwards, it will probably be accidental that the Charlton is where it is and has already made 5 wins, as many as Fulham. In the penultimate game, however, Charlton won 1-0 the 2nd in the Leeds standings, which also pays ... 1.36 for promotion! In the last one, Charlton faced the champion Swansea, who pays 3.75 for promotion. He fought it, took the lead and lost 2-1, but could get the point. Not bad results playing with the "top shelf". Why 8.75?

3. And then you go to the Devil Advocate's last argument to justify the odds: Fulham (who pays 1.90, let me tell you) will obviously be in demonic form. Yes he has only lost one in the last 6. Yes, but he has only 2 wins. But were her victories with strong opponents? And you go see us who has won so far. Do not say names, but see that they were not groups from the top shelf. On the other hand, when faced with slightly more difficult teams, he failed to win or lose (Brom, Wendzdei, Cardiff, Nottingham).

We do not say the latter about the form in order to reduce Fulham. We say this arguing that the performance of the double is out of place and time. Fulham are the favorites and they may well win but we also have our chances. More than what 8.75 says.

Fulham - Charlton 2 @ 8.75 (Sportingbet)

 

[vaf3]

Good morning. At 6,25 in the double of Xanthi, I think it meets the requirements of the thread.

 

[nklaps]

Good morning. At 6,25 in the double of Xanthi, I think it meets the requirements of the thread.

Good morning.

He was 5+ in the phase of the first sorting.

We said if it is 0-0 at halftime, to put it live.

The rationale is that Panathinaikos seems to be starting to meet.

Sent from my RedNote 5 using Tapatalk

 

[nklaps]

Fulham - Charlton 2-2 LOST

 

[Fairplay]

Good morning

Only one match in the spotlight today, Bolton.

The 5ari is of course small for the risk that one will take but also for the data of the trend. We watch how the performance will move and see if we go pre or live.
For us it is not a matter of paying it but to pay it in the performance that should be ..... to be paid a victory of a team that has not yet made a difference against a team from the top shelf of the standings.
We will inform later if we go pre or live ....

 

[kerkireos]

Forest Green at 5.00. That is, you only give her a 20% book to win?

 

[nik19761999]

Forest Green at 5.00. That is, you only give her a 20% book to win?

I totally agree 1st with 2nd at 4,65 and 3,45 dnb in blue ... A similar case with Hemel at the headquarters of Havand at 4,35 !!!! But since we are talking about chances, Greece at 20 ??????? We have shrunk so much in football and the boukis gives us only 5% ???

 

[kerkireos]

Has it arrived at 20.00? I played it -1.5 Asian, now I see it has dropped a lot. Since it is a scorpion village and Italy has gone up a lot.

 

[nik19761999]

Has it arrived at 20.00? I played it -1.5 Asian, now I see it has dropped a lot. Since it is a scorpion village and Italy has gone up a lot.

If the halftime lasts, we will throw a little from 70 'and then bass and nothing comes out against anything.

 

[Shadowcaster]

Beyond our own personal view, National has been betting for the last half-hour k on 16,25 at Pinnacle with 5% rake, making 21.00 the 365 value in terms of performance.
Again we are talking about the 6% probability of course according to the market, but the value in performance is double digits if it stays true until the start of the match.

and many greetings once we have time to say them

 

[nklaps]

Beyond our own personal view, National has been betting for the last half-hour k on 16,25 at Pinnacle with 5% rake, making 21.00 the 365 value in terms of performance.
Again we are talking about the 6% probability of course according to the market, but the value in performance is double digits if it stays true until the start of the match.

and many greetings once we have time to say them

Welcome Shadowcaster ..
We did have time to say it.
Come more often.


We chose to take a break now that the Nationals are playing. Good or bad.
Not that we disagree about value, but we generally play Championships. And this year we have put live in our game (see sans voir live).

In football, of course, everything happens and our National Team can win.
However, I personally do not feel ok to put money in the National under it or (if one sees it from another angle) in a new and unknown National.

In Asymmetric bets yes the bet could be entered.
Sans voir I think not.

To put it another way:

Prefer to get a bet with 10% probability and expected value 100% or a bet probable 20% with expected value 60%?

And don't just focus on the probability of 10% or 20%, but look at what negative fluctuations you expect in 10 and what in 20 until you record a success.





Sent from my RedNote 5 using Tapatalk