The emotions from this week are mixed but with the lost "forced" covers and with several bets lost in the last service game, I am forced to cash-out and let me drink the bitter glass once again ...
So, as the week went on, I prefer to get the 10/10 for sure than to wait twice as long and if it goes wrong again like last week to pull my hair.
1) On the first day Bublik served for 3-3 in the 1st set and ate a break. (2/10)
2) After 2-3 days Isner in a first set without BP, served to send the set to TV and ate break. (2/10)
3) Seeing the Russian (Medvedev) fighting with Pospisil I said to cover with Fognini so that we do not lose in the end (2/10)
4) Today having Djoko-RF out, and being the Russian 1st favorite, I said to throw the big cover to Stef (waiting for the Cash out) in the 2nd set, since throughout the 1st set he looked much superior. Unfortunately he lost both on TV and 4 BPs. (6/10)
With that, they lost 12/10 (and potential winnings) from coverages and marginally lost bets. Of course we also saved 2 bets that were not lost due to withdrawal ..
But let's see what happens now with the 2 remaining bets on Medvedev ...
The 1st was H2H (Medvedev-Zverev) and I think it was the gift of the week, he managed not to come !!! On the first day the Russian had 1 and the German 1,08 and both won. On the 1,6nd day, the Russian had 2 and the German had 1,2 and again the skirt won. On the 2,7rd day 3 and 1,4 respectively until we reach tomorrow's final with the odds being given at 1,75 while at 1,55 was the initial odds of H1,6H !!!! Zverev's mom or not ???
So he is forced to cash out, taking the initial amount exactly although in Stoiximan the Russian has 1,5 but the rake eats the possible small profit. Zero of that.
And I'm going to the last bet that was the initial long run, for Medvedev to win the tournament with 12 odds and 2/10.
Now it is given to me at the supposed 7,5 and I cash it out ... And I explain the reasons.
1) With so many lost matches in the final and the 2 lost coverages, I am very afraid of the next turn.
2) The difference between the 2 players is not as big as the values show (1,5-2,6). I just think Zverev has been playing his best tennis for 1,5 years and Medvedev the worst since Wimbledon. Of course, there is also the German's fatigue from the 2nd week in a row.
3) Zverev broke me up last week when I had bet him on 8 odds and lost to Stefanos and I do not know how !!! I do not want to lose 2nd week in a row from him even from the other way around.
4) In a relatively balanced final I prefer potassium 10 in hand, rather than 20 and cartridge ...
I close by saying:
Total of the week: +11/10
And I play the last bet so I have 10/10 for sure. Now if the specialist comes I will bite into about what I lost with the cover ...
Medvedev-Zverev: 2/1 (8) Bet365 (1/10)
PS: With Djoko-Nadal-RF at their best and with already passed the 3rd of the trained Medvedev-Thiem-Stef, if they manage to pass (which I take for granted) and Zverev-Berretini, I am convinced that we will see by far the best ATP Finals we have seen so far. If Bautista Agut or Fognini passes again instead of the other Italian, it will just be a step down. However, I never remember 8 players in hard and with such good form playing at the end. Only question mark Nadal who joked at the Us Open.