The tie is the statistics as one is undefeated at home (1-5-0), the other is undefeated at home (4-2-0) and have the same form (2-2-1).
Their difference lies in the motive and overall picture: The new-minded Ararat is close to the playoffs, but in substance it is rather indifferent as it has achieved the goal of staying. As far as Roby Shapira is concerned, this is clearly a more serious goal as she chases the direct rise within walking distance of Kukabab and Iqsal (34b). If Shapira had taken advantage of her seat in the first place and had not scored points with small and medium teams, she would have been in the driver's seat, probably by difference.
Essentially today's game is a chance for the guest to get closer to the top, and because he is a better team overall we will trust him at an outsized price.