We are reaching the end of the championship in Brazil and shortly before the play-offs the good from the bad teams have been cleared.
Today we are dealing with such a couple since Paulistano is clearly superior to the current opponent, Sorocabana. Several days of rest for the host since he had postponements in the program since the opponents he would face take part in the Fiba Liga. 4 matches before the end he is in 7th place and wants to be better placed for the play-offs starting with today's match after losing in the last one away from home. 9-4 is inside and scores quite well close to 85 on average especially against opponents like the current rare problems. In the first round Paulistano cleared it out 74-103.
Sorocabana holds with its fingernails and teeth the last position that leads to this year's play-offs and mainly takes the matches inside to maintain the position since the following teams are weak and constantly twisting. Weak away this year with an inexperienced roster, has a record of 2-11 and sees more away the away games. He gave two close matches on March 13 and 15 except with Paulistano type teams and almost lost with his hands down, 90-75 and 95-71, so today is the third match in 4 days!
I do not see anything changing today. Big difference in capacity, Paulistano has won much better teams this year, is relaxed and wants to return to success against a team that probably wants to get rid of this trip and return to the warmth of home to complete the season. The handicaps are around -10.5 for Paulistano and I would say that it could be even bigger with such a big capacity difference.
Bet on Paulistano tonight at -10.5 points.