AEK will go to Nea Smyrna after the big qualifying against Nimburg, largely due to the extent of the defeat in the first game and not because of the value of its opponent. So she showed "character" and counted her "shirt". I will point it out once more, I think American players put more emphasis on Europe's games, because they mainly "build" their contracts.
AEK is on a good moon, coming from the conquest of the Cup and 6 consecutive wins in the Basket League, 4 even away. Last victory against the Croatian in Amaliada with 75-77. The Greek league will be judged in the play-offs and probably has little chance of something good there. So it's normal to have more of their minds in the BCHL and the "rematch" with Strasbourg than in the domestic event.
Panionios, on the other hand, is showing both a racing and a steering. It comes from 3 winning home games and shows that it will fight all games in New Smyrna. He has a difficult program, he will not only get it, but he will fight it. Cammins was added to the roster and in combination with Sakellariou and the rest can hope for the fight to avoid relegation.
In sum, I hope the AEK will be disoriented by the qualification in the Czech Republic, which will be taken advantage of by the hosts. I will bet on Panionios's enormous motivation, for which I consider this game a "key". They need a big win and will try to make it on Sunday. Qualitatively AEK is superior, but on the field many times the will proves to be stronger than quality.
I will take the hc, but I think Panionios has the "jersey" to get even the win. Personally, I will also bet on Panionios' victory.
Panionios - AEK | 1 (+8.5) | Stoiximan | 1.87 | 5/10