Last bet of the day and 3 from CL and is the 4 group match between Ajax and Real Madrid.
It is very cheap to analyze in a match played by 2 from the largest clubs on the planet and so familiar to their teams. For Real I really will not analyze since it is a team without absences today and whoever from Modric-Ozil-Kaka plays in the unique position that remains questionable things will be down the same. Also the club after its very moderate start seems to roll because in the last 2 won with 5-1 and 0-2 respectively for the championship, while CL is already in power after winning one of 2 big opponents in the group with 3-2 and knows how to keep her head calm with Ajax making 2 / 2 out of the box.
On the other hand, Ajax is not an insignificant quantity, but with his absences he has not got a bench in the current match and so if something goes wrong he will be able to correct his coach. Also as a group does not remind the past in the past, since the material of the players is relatively poor and relies heavily on several up-and-coming talents and not on heavy names.
My bet is based on 2 axes. One is the one who first came in and is the form Reall has caught and he knows how to do 2 / 2 with Ajax.
2o and perhaps more important is the awesome head-to-head that has been formed in the last 2 years.
Ajax and Real have also faced the previous 2 season in the group stage and the result shows 4 / 4 victories for Real and even without Madrid's goal. The individual scores are: 2-0 / 0-4 / 2-0 / 0-3 !!! Indeed, the last of these games was 6 last year when Real had already been the first and Ajax was trying to win Lyon in the qualifying battle and 0-3 scores for Ajax and the "epic" 1 -7 for Lyon. But last season again Ajax was eliminated from the 0-4 5 racing game. This means that Murhinio does not dare to grace. Imagine now that 100% wants the victory.
I'm going to the handicap that if the match ends with Real's win with 1 goal difference we lose half our bet.