Pakistan - South Africa (Ahmed Shehzad runs: 16.5) The first match between the two countries in the form of T20, where the two teams compete in a mini cricket match and have from 20 overs each to score as many runs can and win the opponent.
Perhaps we have the unique form of cricket where Pakistans can be considered equivalent, perhaps better, than South Africans, so some returns I see near 2.20 for Pakistan can be considered value and perhaps worth a minimum bet. In this form of cricket, the Pakistanis have a 8-7 record against South Africa, but I hesitate to bet on Pakistan's victory for the following reasons:
1) Pakistan has shown instability so far in batting, so I can not be sure that they will cope if they break a good partnership and accept 2-3 wickets in a short period of time.
2) The backbone of Pakistan's batting line-up in previous games, Chief Misbah, is not participating in T20 games, so Pakistan needs to make several changes to its tactics.
3) In a game in T20, balances are always subtle, and races change with 2-3 with good knocks, players get bigger risks and it's hard to always value the value in a performance.
But a bet that I like in this game has to do with Ahmed Shehzad, who is in excellent condition at this time and is still expected to be in the twin that will open the batting for Pakistan. He has generally shown to be in good shape at this time. In previous games between the two teams scored 58, 58, 32 and 43 runs but in the last game it was only with 2 runs scoring and today is called to give answers for this bad appearance. There is an incentive for the player, since a good twin at the beginning can give a strong lead to the team for the win.
I think he can do 17 runs, so I'll bet on it.
