Benfica (-0 AH) - Juventus

Let's go and see the quarterfinals of Europa and I will only bet on one since Sevilla 1,7 is out of place and time for a team that no matter how good it is has no bigger jersey than its opponent and plays in a double board since Sunday has the biggest match of the year with Bilbao to get to the CL, while opposite is a Valenthia that, although worse, has set as its only goal the Europa League.

We leave the Spanish Civil War and go to Portugal.

There we find the champion Benfica who after last year's huge loss where she lost 3 titles in an equal number of finals (lost the championship in the last 3 games with a draw with Pacos and lost to Porto with a goal in 92, lost Europa in the last minute by Chelsea and the cup in the final by a subordinate team), this year entered the championship with a single goal. Although he did not give up the other goals, he played with key players in the league and with substitutes in all the others except the period he was in the CL. However, he won the championship and in the last 2 games things are indifferent and so for the first time this year in Europa he can line up his main team but also give everything to qualify for the final.

So after a season of full bitterness, he comes to 2014 with dreams of 4 titles, since after winning the championship, he is already in the cup final with Rio Ave (eliminated Porto in the semifinals), in the semifinals of the League Cup where he plays with Porto, while in Europa he plays against Juventus in an early final against the background of the final in Turin.

In the championship of Portugal after the only defeat in its first match, it counts 23-4-0 !!!! while in CL she came 3rd in a group with PSG who cleared her matches, after paying the hardship of her forwards in the match in Karaiskakis, where she lost a sack of opportunities to get the 2nd.

In the Europa League, although he played in all 3 rounds with substitutes mostly, he managed with 5 wins and 1 draw to pass PAOK, Tottenham, AZ and reach this point.

So in total this year he has lost only 3 times and these are in 3 away matches by Maritimo, PSG and OSFP, while at home he remains undefeated for a season in all competitions.

At the same time in Europe it is 16-2-0 in its last 18 home matches, with the last defeat in 2008 by Mettalist, while in CL it is 4-1-0 with the last defeat in 2012 by Barcelona

On the other hand we have Juventus, a huge Italian club that comes from 2 consecutive championships in Italy, while it is a hug with the 3rd consecutive since with 4 games left it is at +8 from Roma with which it plays outside the penultimate game, but with 4 points in these 3 other games she is a champion or if she just does not lose in the match with Roma.

But despite the fact that in Italy he has no opponent and despite the amazing course of Roma, he can not lose the title with a total of 29-3-2, in Europe things are completely different. In a very passable group with 1st Real but with 2 easy other opponents, he managed and was eliminated having only 1 victory in the group (with the last Copenhagen inside), while they had 0-1-1 with Real and 0-1-1 with Galatasaray !!!

In Europa, things went much better but despite the 5-1-0 he had in the 3 rounds, he faced much lower opponents with the sole exception of Fiorentina, but personally he did not convince me. With Trabzonspor it could have been easy, but with Fiore they needed it normally since in the first match they drew 1-1 while in the second after first viola lost some classic opportunities, Juve qualified 1-2 with a goal in 0 and since he was already playing for a few minutes with a player above. As for the end with Lyon, despite the fact that it found a ghost team in relation to that of the past, it did not pass easily, although the French played in both games with half of the basic 1 team out.

To close, my reasoning is this: We have 2 huge teams that have been dominant in the last 2 years and if last year Benfica had a little more luck they could have done the treble, after losing the championship with goals in 92 and Europa with goals in 93, while this year he has already won the championship and is in front of 2 more finals. But their difference is in the European part where Benfica clearly looks superior since Juventus did not impress last year either.

So on the one hand we have Benfica with top psychology that now goes with the thousand for Europa and on the other hand a Juventus that constantly wins with the stable and with Saint Buffon where it is terribly high in prices due to the fact that the final will take place at home of. But we have seen this fairy tale many times and we will not miss it, when in fact the DNB is given to us at almost equal prices and Juventus will take a goal draw and say thank you.

I believe that Juve will look for 0-1 / 1-1 / 2-2, while Benfica will want to get a qualifying score, which can be a simple victory. The 2nd scenario in my eyes is more logical with the racing fall of Juve, while in the case of the 1st scenario, with the DNB we are quite covered for a first match of 2 doubles.

In the games, Benfica has 3 absences with Salvio, Silvio and Gaitan with the 3rd being a big loss but also the 1st not going back, while Juventus will miss its 2nd best player after Pirlo, Vidal who this year eyes and I consider it a huge loss.