You expect a great fight in the Catalunya loyalty between Stoner and Lorentz, but I would prefer to let go of this ambitious fight and to play in another Spaniard who is fighting "inside" Danny Pedrosa as I believe he does not have a serious rival to go to the mouse if we exclude 2 from a big favorite for victory.
Beginning with 5, I believe he will not have any difficulty in passing Kratsel and Spitz.
He did not compete for the Grand Prix as he was injured, while 2 was behind the other Spanish Lorenzo, leaving 3 the Australian one.
1.70 to finish the Pentrosa in my favor seems very good and I will be betting with a small stake.