• 13
  • Σεπ 2014
  • 21:00

Mundobasket 2014 Greece (1st without Spain & USA)

Friday, September 05 2014 21: 47

Tipster:  

Category: Basketball- Mundobasket 2014 Mundobasket 2014
Tip: Win Outright
Bookmaker: 21+ | EEEP Regulator KETHEA helpline: 210 9237777 | Play Responsibly
Units: 3/10
Odds: 5
Result: Lost in R16
Profit: -3 (Lost)

I'm not a backyard and I certainly can not see the details of the other children involved in the sport, but seeing all these years Euroleague and the big events I can see that this group of Greece has at least homogeneity and passion.

So I will go to a single bet for the Mundobasket for the crap that they say.

Looking at the percentages given to all companies, Greece is given to almost all the 3rd favorite along with Brazil while their difference from the first 2, Spain and USA is huge and it really is. So chasing such a special bet apart from being big is basically utopian with 2 huge teams playing superior basketball.

So I'm going to another bet, which I think is worth, and who is going to get better out of the other teams, that's practically who gets the bronze medal.

Looking at the results of the other group with which we will cross in the next 2 matches, we can see how the 2-4 teams are the same, and because of the 20ara that the 3 teams ate from Spain, but also by the very few winners of each other, whether Brazil made 2 / 2 and Serbia 0 / 2. The Serbs lost to the French and 7-8 from Brazil and the French won and lost.

Brazil therefore gets a small avant-garde but it does not differ much from the other 3 and more than Serbia that will be our opponent.

So we go to a battle of several teams for who will manage to win 3 matches and get the bronze.

Beginning with the 1 match regardless of the odds of the books, I think we have a moderate rival compared to Brazil and those of the other group (Lithuania). That is, Lithuania has the worst opponent, while the Brazilians think I'm wrong with 1,3 since Argentina has never won the last years, and they are winning them for the last 15.

If we go straight, then I think we are playing a 50-50 match with the Brazilians and we will not have more than 1,8 odds, in contrast to the Lithuanians on the other hand who will play or the Australians from whom they lost in the group or with the Turks who are either of height or depth.

Finally, if we get to the final, any team outside Lithuania will be 1,4's favorites, while with the Lithuanians we will be a marginal favorite of 1,7-1.8.

I do not know if what I say sounds (logically), but it's as I see them for the prices and forgive me if I'm wrong because I'm not the most competent.

And now let's see why I think value 5ary:

1) In the worst case scenario with the best teams (Serbia, Brazil, Lithuania), 1,5 and 1,8 matches, 2 draws us a 5 which is the price we are given.

2) In the event that Brazil suffers another defeat from Argentina that is not unreasonable, the first 1,8 will become max 1,4 as yesterday or rather an 1,3 and so the performance will reach max in 3,5. So 5 will be value.

3) If Lithuania loses in the quarter-finals from Australia or Turkey, then we will have another 1,4 max, so go to a return again 3,5

4) Finally in the best case that both are excluded then we talk about a total of 2 and then we talk about Super value.

All of this, of course, with the certainty that the Spaniards and the Americans will sweep everything in between as the final, although I am optimistic that we will all have one more chance of having the whole of looking at the Spaniards, I think we can face the US

Tipster Form (Last 10 Events)
Profit Draws. Hamm. Profit Yield
2024 +0 + 0 %
All Time 579 65 691 +86.64 + 1.94 %

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Statistics Tipsters

  • Profit-Yield 2022
  • Profit-Yield All Time

Tipster Profit Yield
RAPTAKIS +20.68 + 7.55 %
FOUNTOULAKIS -0.05 0.00%
SOLAR -4.86 -4.22%

Tipster Profit Yield
SOLAR +1364.05 + 12.39 %
RAPTAKIS +103.13 + 1.59 %
FOUNTOULAKIS -108.08 -1.20%

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