Dallas (-8.5) - Cleveland On the NBA floor I'm going for the current proposal with the Dallas Mavs to host the Cleveland Cavs.
5-19 away from home, Cavs will give their third consecutive match away from home after two defeats in Houston and New York with 20 + points. Both of these defeats also show the poor match condition of the team as it has lost 7 from the last 8 of the match with their only victory coming against the weak Bucks, while the rest of the defeats did not cover any handicaps while they accepted about 100 and + points and in each match. Doubtless also for today's game, Varejao has lost to 3 last game and his absence has cost Cavs enough. 7-17 this year's ATS for Outside Cavs and 2-8 against teams with a record of over 500 away.
Dallas is strong at 16-8's headquarters, and such opponents usually clean them up. It comes from a home win against Sacramento and today's match is quite important for the Mavs as they then have to make a pretty tough game which includes 12 off-home matches in the next 18, while 3 from within is against Miami-Indiana and Portland. Marion is doubtful today for the Mavs. Dallas has this year's success with teams from the Eastern Conference (12-6), with ATS's home team against negative-record teams at 8-5.
The two teams met at 20 / 1 with Dallas going through Cleveland 102-97 with the lines being picked and Varejao in the show having good numbers, so his eventual absence is particularly important today. More recently, Dallas has been hitting Cleveland as 6 has been defeated by 7 in their last game, 11-4 straight up from 96 'and 3-1 at 3 last year. There are a few more negative trends for the Cavs this evening, 2-14 this year, after non-conferece matches, 0-4 vs. 99 + points. 5-0 at Dallas vs Central this year, and 12-6 in non-conference matches.
As a team, Dallas is better, with the psychology being bad on the Cavs side. The upcoming difficult program for the Mavs will logically push them to a good performance tonight against a passable opponent, while the recent defensive presence of Cleveland is also worrying since today it will find a very capable offensive team against it. The Mavs are able to open disputes against such teams this year and settle the final difference in the match. So I think today's big handicap is fair as it is the clear favorite for me here and maybe the Cavs will leave with another heavy away defeat tonight. At -9 to -9.5 the spread in most companies, I will buy half a point, with -8.5 being offered at 1.83 by Bet365 and Stoiximan.
