Last pick from the NCAAF and go to a maybe less commercial matchup here, with Indiana Hoosiers going to Bowling Green.
In this game I caught the attention of the relatively small line that Indiana must cover, which is the presumably better team in the couple. In this match Bowling Green will play with his second quarterback as the main one was injured, a second who has flown just ten passes to his career so far. In addition to the aggressive problems with Bowling, in his last two matches, he had several defensive problems, 569 passing yesterday in their first match, and 350 in the second!
Indiana has just played a match, and was basically friendly as they played with the weak Indiana State, which they easily won. The Hoosiers put a lot of weight on the running game, and they do it well. This point I think will be the key to today's confrontation with Bowling trying to stop it, and in addition leave open spaces to his vulnerable pass defense.
I have the feeling that they have not read the line completely correctly, for an Indiana team that is in a better conference and is better, while it also comes from a break against a Bowling with a second quarterback and a problematic defensive function. I consider it quite possible to leave Indiana with a victory even with a double-digit difference. The ideal number was -7 but it no longer exists, and 8 does it for me as I see a difference of at least 10 or more. Indiana -8 @ 1.90, Bet365.