Kentucky - Mississippi State (-8.5)

We continue today at NCAA football with Bulldogs from Mississippi to do the micro trip to Kentucky.

The Bulldogs have made a great start this year with 4-0, and 2-2 against the handicap. The team had a day off last week which always helps in a difficult and painful sport. Tyler Russel leads the team from QB's position by releasing roughly 36 offensive points with good balance both in the air and in the run. High ranking for the team and the defense sector as the defense receives only 13 points and has managed to make 15 turnovers in a match. Special mention is also made of the excellent running back to Perkins that has already reached 400 yards this year!

Kentucky has nothing to do with his current opponent. 1-4 this year's record and 1-4 ATS. He has received 76 in his last two matches, while his defense is generally close to 30. Aggressively it does not say a lot of things since it achieves about 20 points, and today it will be without the basic qb. The role will be taken by two first-time workers without any special experience. Generally, the absenteeism is heavy for Kentucky with 11 players on the list, with bitter doubts, beaten and wounded. I'm not expecting Kentucky today, but it's hard to find runways in the run against a good defense.

The Bulldogs have taken the last 3 match between the two schools, and last year in Kentucky again with 28-16. In the last 5 matches the State is 4-1 ATS against Kentucky, and in the last 6 the team is 5-1 ATS in this pair.

Goliath facing David today's match, with a handicap I do not understand. Ok is a local derby and will have an underdog but motivated by Kentucky trying to pick up his debris while the Bulldogs are making good on the court. Since I can find a one-digit win for the Bulldogs near 1.80, it is definitely worth a bet, as the theory is unlikely to win by double-digit difference tonight.

Mississippi State -8.5 @ 1.81, Pinnacle.