Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham

I'm going to my first bet for today and this will be in 1 of the 1 matches outside the CL.

My main reasoning for this match is that the 2 teams are one of the few couples in English football that make 3-point exchanges. Based on this criterion, which for me plays a big role in the selection of some of my bets, makes me to a large extent exclude a draw. Not that he can not come, but he certainly has very little chance. With this element in an English game, it is worth getting into a set where the ace or the double has a huge chance. So in 2-2005 the 06 teams brought 2 doubles, while in 2-2 they brought 06 aces. In 07-2 they brought 07 aces to come after a period of 08 years that they were not faced, in 2-4 to bring 2011 12 doubles again.

From the 2 points, therefore, the ace gives about 2.5 and the double doubles about 2. Nevertheless, I will choose the ace and the reason is the following.

The 2 teams for today's match will not have terrible absences. Basically Cheltenham will have none, while Bristol will have 2 key ones out. One is her main striker, and the other is her right back. Absences may show Cheltenham but form and motivation show Bristol and with that I will go. And when I say form I do not mean form in the strict sense of the word (ie wins-losses), in which again Cheltenham is better with 1-3-0 outside (while 0-2-2 inside for Bristol), but the TURNING. That is, the change of scenery. So Bristol after the tragic appearances at the beginning of the league that was 0-2-3, in the last 3 games has made 3 good appearances. In the first 2 he got 2 draws (except with Plymouth and a cap inside with the awesome team Fleetwood), and the victory remained to change the psychology. So this is the last away game with the good Exeter and so another air is blowing in the team.

The second element is the motivation for me and here again Bristol has the lead. Bristol at the moment is 2 points from the relegation and with a victory today it goes up a lot and essentially with 2 good previous appearances it takes a lot of stress off it if it makes 3 consecutive victories. On the other hand Cheltenham are marginally out of play-offs, and with one match less than the other teams they can lose points today since the league has a long way to go and so in the 2nd round to ask for 2 points if they are still within goals.

I do not know if I can convince many with this information, but at least I have convinced myself and I will buy the rich ace.