The last bet is the point. The basic analysis is found here Neimar is missing tonight as I pointed out at the beginning and until now Brazil played on Neimar base. So there are footballers who inspire you and when you have such as say you will not miss take Neimar or Messi, or Roben etc are players when you have in your team the confidence in yourself is more than normal, if you also remember from your childhood when we played a ball in the middle when we had the "best" we said "do not miss today" and let the others play as best they could. Nowadays this player does not play and the Germans do not "trust" a player but have a set of players who will not miss any replacements. Because I think this absence plays a role of Neimar and the Germans are more "integrated as a team I will go to the right but with X2, because we said it is a semifinals that can go to both the prolongation and the penalty shootout