I also pass in the second AFC Saturday match between New England Patriots and Indianapolis Colts.

Day off in the current match Patriots of Tom Brady, against the hungry and dangerous Colts coming in today's match with enough mementum after the stunning overturning Cheifs in the previous round. He shone Luck's star in that match which has shown this year that he is on the right track for the next big thing.

The Pats have shown a good offensive this season, although the team is generally injured by injuries on both sides of the ball. However, they secured their headquarters this year with 8 victories in an equal number of matches and at 6-2 within. 30 points the home team with the defense to receive close to 20 but in a match against a good attack has shown vulnerable, forcing Brady to make several times comeback victories. Absences still in the attack do not seem to have affected them, the defensive more that I think will be tested tonight by a proficient aggressive team.

Colts's big difference with this year's Patriots is that it's far more physical. They see the match as a boxing match and their goal is to tire opponents as the match progresses with enough grind game. It easily knocks the team, and often the ball is the defensive function. Opposite Kansas has shown a problem and should tighten enough today against a proficient attack. The truth is that before the match with the Cheifs had improved a little in this area with the passive away this year being at 21 points. The attack produces near 24 points on their trips and has shown several times this year not to be affected by big matches. The 5-3 away is judged positive with 4-3 ats.

The two teams did not play this season, while the tradition shows split ATS in the games they have given to New England from 92 'and then. In particular, New England gets the matches (14-4) but does not always cover the handicap (9-8 ats).

The Patriots are here but I think it will not be easy to play today. Curiously, Colts with Pagano on the bench have shown excellent mood in big matches. The overthrow that they did with the Cheifs has shown that they believe it and want it, while the aggressive production is sure it will continue in the face of a vulnerable defense. In dynamism I take the lead in Colts, with my only concern being how the defense line will go against Brady and the passing game. It is possible to see a big score here, but I feel that Luck is able to keep his team close to the final result maybe judged in the last drives of the race. In big games this year, the Patriots have not shown me that they can clean up with a safety score in opposition to the Colts who are struggling with it, that they are getting a touchdown, and that something is of value to me in such a crucial and decisive game. To + 7.5 that is a key number on a spread bet as it pushes you over one td, we can find it at Mybet @ 1.85.

NFL Showdown for the AFC division, three turns before the end with the beans measured now.

10-3 the record for Patriots going to 7-6 Dolphins. At the top of the AFC East Patriots have cleared the post-season, and after yesterday's defeat of Broncos they are chasing the best record at AFC that will give them the advantage of headquarters in this year's play-offs. After their current match, they have another test in Baltimore and easily complete within with the Bills. The Pats are running three consecutive wins and 5 in their last 6 matches, in a pretty good shape, although 3 has recently been forced to show character by overtaking matches that were apparently lost, among them the last dramatic 27-26 with Cleveland in the last seconds. In this match the Patriots lost a basic tool to Gronkowski in the offensive, but they have re-started without him this year and showed that they can adapt to his absence. New England will logically rely heavier on the running game today as well as on the two outstanding Vereen and Endelman, while Brady's game continues to be high. Known wound defense but it balances quite a lot of things the excellent performance in the attack. With Bellichick on the bench Patriots in December are 24-8 ATS when given as a favorite with less than 7 points.

I thought Miami was good for something this year and it shows in the last matches that it shows its good face. In a match he had to take he did and they have brought it close to winning the wild card in the AFC with today's match may be the last theoretically difficult, as watt matches with Buffalo and Jets follow. Miami comes from a big victory in the snowy Pitt. a victory that probably spread the hopes of the Steelers (34-28). Despite the problems regarding the coverage of qb, Miami has managed to find balance especially in the defensive part and has significantly increased its performance. He will have a significant absence today in the coverage of the pass with the good cb Taylor outside, while he also has some doubts (RB Miller and Center Pouncey). The last few years are not going so well in Miami as the guests are 56-36 ATS. Miami in its total statistics this year has received 300 yards more than its opponents in total.

Both teams have a long tradition as teams from the same division. In the first match this year the Patriots defeated 27-17 as 6.5 favorite, while losing to 14 matches at some point. Boss in recent years in the pair Pats are counting 7 victories against Dolphins and 2-0 3 last year in a match in Miami.

Here the line opened with the New England favorite close to 2.5 points while the first lines before last week's games were at 4 points. The lines have come down close to 1 now, ie pick the match. For New England today's game is crucial as Denver opened the window for them to take the reins in the AFC, and it may be a derby but I think they can find ways to win the game and they definitely have the roster to do it. Miami is in shape and has won several crucial matches. A defeat today is not a disaster as he has two easy matches without losing contact with the wild card. Not, of course, that he will not fight today, but I think that he lacks a little talent here, while the absence in the defensive part can create a problem for the pass. As the prices have gone, I consider that the initials were closer to the real picture of the match. I get good value in a top team of the AFC New England Patriots with the best value to have Stoiximan in the handicap without an advance to either of them at the moment at 1.93.

Today's second choice for the NFL, and in this pair I will go to bet on the set of points.

At the top of AFC East New England (9-3), he is now hunting Denver for the best record. Especially productive the attack lately, with strong comebacks in the last games to win. 55, 34 and 34 in the 3 wins in the last 4 with the only defeat coming from the defensive Karolina. The attack is clicked but the defense does not, in those same matches it has 31 points. It seems to be an easy match today against Cleveland but this year's Patriots defense is not trust.

Regardless of Cleveland (4-8) and his defensiveness as he stays firmly over 30 points in the last 3 matches, while against good NFL teams in the attack, he has a problem. 7 defeats the team in the last 8 matches. Return to Campbell today in the qb position that is a bit better than the previous qb.

New England's assault leads her safely this year behind Brady's game. His defensive presence wounds and may be a bit loose today against a virtually weak and loose opponent, but he is able to score points. The fact that Cleveland is defensive defensively gives luck here. 3 from the 5 matches that the teams have given in New England from 92 'and then have been over. If I get close to the 14 Points Cleveland today I think it's a good way for the two teams to pass the limit tonight, with New England pulling the rest.