Valencia (-4.5 & Over 161.5 pts) - Alba B. I started yesterday with the game that started the last race of the first round and I will close with the last one that is usually played in Spain where Valencia host Alba.
Valencia is recovering Slowly after the initial bad start where he had 5 defeats in the first 5 games and they all had 8-9 wins in total this is a fumble for everyone and he already has 7 victories bringing him one victory behind the team. Last week he won the race by winning the Fenner extension in Turkey, even covering an 8 point difference in the extension with Dublijevic partying under the two rackets scoring 30 points and collecting 12 rebounds. With psychology soaring and with clear offensive orientations as he has 3 points in the last 96 innings. it will not be difficult to enforce a team playing in almost the same style but very weak outside.
Alba, on the other hand, comes from a spectacular 81-57 victory over Basconia, clearing the game early. Outside is one of the worst teams in the league to have a win in 8 games the one that succeeded 1,5 months ago at OAKA on Panathinaikos after two extensions. Offensive is not bad 89 points per game except in the tragic defense as he receives almost 101 !!! points per game. Of course the real percentages are slightly less as he has played an extra 4 extensions.
summarizing I think Valencia is better this season and will win the match. I'll take the over with as both teams are the joy of the attack and 160+ points are easy to verify.
The point I choose is ...Valencia (-4.5 & Over 161.5 pts) in performance 2.45 at stoiximan.
