Ferstaphen is coming in after his victory in Austria and will want for 2 the next race to go on the podium.
With 2 first places but almost certainly caught by 2 Mercedes will have to fight with Leklerk and Vettel. I think Ferrari has a better pace than Red Bull and it is very difficult for the Dutch to compete.
2.08 pays Ferstapen not to be in 3 first places.