West Bromwich Albion - Luton Town (X2+over 1,5)

As if nothing has changed at West Brom who have been an absolute disappointment in the league that has passed us and continues at the same pace. One of the favorites for promotion last year, one of the big names in the division, but it didn't even make it to the play-offs. This year even worse since after 12 matches it has 1-7-4 and is in the relegation zone. And all this with Steve Bruce on the bench who is a mother in the division and has promoted several teams.

At home to Swansea he missed a penalty in the 81st minute to make it 3-2 and in the 89th minute conceded that third goal to follow another 1-0 midweek defeat at Preston. In a wrong result and today Bruce may be a thing of the past.

Things are much better in Luton who in a crazy match at home with Huddersfield did not manage to get the third win in a row. Twice behind in the first half to go into the dressing room 3-2 up but it was Huddersfield who scored in the replay with the two teams a point apiece.

A must-win game for West Brom but they face a very strong away team. Luton's 3-1-1 away from home looks grim for the struggling hosts who are playing with a knife to their throats. I disagree with the performance of the ace who is forced to double and seems to have been priced based on the shirt alone but also the past between them which is overwhelmingly in favor of the host. I may disagree with the ace performance but it seems a bit difficult for Luton to make it a fourth straight double against a name like their opponent and the 1.80 at X2 doesn't help me take the risk. On the contrary, I can reduce the bet I would make on the dry X2 and enrich it with the over 1,5 to go up to 2.55 since the games of the two teams so far have seen enough goals.