Pregame Draws/In play Various Bets

[hercules]

FINAL SUMMARY TABLE (WITH 1X2 INCLUDED)​

Primary + Secondary + Units + Confidence + 1X2 (when allowed)​

Match	Primary Market	Secondary	Units	Conf.	1X2 Pick
Cagliari vs Napoli 0-1	Under 2.5	BTTS No	2	90%	—
Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia 4-0	Under 2.5	BTTS No	2	90%	—
Amiens vs Le Mans 3-4	Under 2.5	BTTS No	2	90%	—
Rodez vs Bastia 1-1	Under 2.5	BTTS No	2	90%	—
Roda vs Helmond 1-1	Under 2.5	BTTS No	2	90%	—
Cambuur vs Jong AZ 3-4	Under 2.5	BTTS No	2	90%	—
Bournemouth vs Man Utd 2-2	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	4	78–82%	—
Genoa vs Udinese 0-2	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	4	76–82%	—
RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim 5-0	Over 2.5	BTTS Yes	4	78–82%	—
Huesca vs Almería 1-3	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	4	76–82%	—
Karlsruher vs Greuther Fürth 3-1	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	4	78%	—
Jong Ajax vs Almere City 0-2	Over 2.5	BTTS Yes	4	78–82%	Away (A1)
TOP Oss vs Eindhoven 2-1	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	4	76–82%	Away (A1)
Emmen vs VVV‑Venlo 2-2	Over 2.5	BTTS No	3	70–72%	—
Hannover vs Braunschweig 1-0	Over 2.5	BTTS No	3	70–72%

 

[hercules]

Match	GAP	Total MS	Primary market	Secondary market	Units	Confidence
Banfield vs Tigre 1-0	9.5	81.5	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	4	78%
Atl. Tucumán vs Gimnasia 1-0	25.5	67.5	Under 2.5	—	2	88%
Necaxa vs Tijuana 3-0	15	81	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	5	80%
Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul 1-1	27.5	100.5	Under 2.5	—	2	90%
Okayama vs Nagasaki 0-1	8	88	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	4	78%
Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka 2-2	29	73	Under 2.5	—	2	90%
Akita vs Hachinohe 1-0	31	99	Under 2.5	—	2	90%
Sagamihara vs Yokohama FC 2-4	19	99	—	Draw	1	64%
Miyazaki vs Kumamoto 1-0	30	117	Under 2.5	—	2	90%
Oita vs Ryukyu 2-3	28.5	91.5	Under 2.5	—	2	90%
Nagano vs Iwaki 1-3	39.5	74.5	Under 2.5	—	2	90%
Sapporo vs Kofu 1-0	30	84	Under 2.5	—	2	90%
Matsumoto vs Gifu 2-2	8	110	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	5	82%
Fukushima vs Fujieda 3-3	32.5	79.5	Under 2.5	—	2	90%

 

[hercules]

Match	GAP	Total MS	Primary Market	Secondary Market	Units	Confidence
Everton vs Chelsea 3-0	5	90.0	Under 2.5	Draw	2 + 1	88% / 60%
Sevilla vs Valencia	2	89.0	Under 2.5	Draw	2 + 1	88% / 60%
PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda 2-1	13	80.5	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	5	80%
Sion vs St. Gallen 1-1	1	109.5	Under 2.5	(Upset X2/1X lean)	2 (+1)	88% / 58%
Fluminense vs Atlético‑MG 1-0	23	99.0	X2 (Upset angle)	—	1	58%

 

[hercules]

TESTING NO BETS overall table.

Rank	Match	Bet	Odds	Expected ROI	Why it ranks high
1	Sampdoria vs Avellino	Avellino	4.25	+0.62	Massive underperformance gap, elite momentum (WWW), xG favours them even away, home adv doesn’t erase edge.
2	Südtirol vs Frosinone	Frosinone	2.40	+0.41	Strongest team in matchup, momentum solid, table supports them, xG huge; price still too big.
3	Empoli vs Pescara	Pescara	3.55	+0.37	Underperforming but improving, momentum WDWDW, xG likes them even after home adv.
4	Feyenoord vs Ajax	Feyenoord	1.98	+0.28	Major underperformer with strong GD, xG + home adv make them clear fav, market still too generous.
5	Aston Villa vs West Ham	West Ham	4.75	+0.23	xG leans West Ham, Villa slightly flattered by table, WH momentum better; home adv reduces but doesn’t kill value.
6	Tottenham vs Forest	Tottenham	2.37	+0.11	xG + home adv push Spurs above implied %, table/momentum neutral → modest but real edge.

Rank	Bet	Odds	Strength
1	Frosinone	2.40
2	Bari	3.15
3	Sampdoria	2.18
4	Empoli–Pescara	—	No value

overall+home/away tables. TESTING

 

[hercules]

Match	GAP	Total	Primary Market	Secondary	Units	Confidence
Castellón vs Leonesa 1-1	30.5	94.5	Under 2.5	—	2	90%
Granada W vs Deportivo W 1-0	13.5	96.5	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	4	78–82%
Chicó vs Tolima 1-1	35.5	83.5	Under 2.5	—	2	90%
Santa Fe vs Medellín 2-1	11.5	98.5	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	4–5	76–82%

Rank	Match	Bet	Odds	Model Value
1	Chicó vs Tolima	Tolima	2.00	Good value
2	Santa Fe vs Medellín	Medellín	3.15	Small value

 

[hercules]

Match	Primary	Secondary	Units	Confidence
Emmen – Cambuur 2-4	Under 2.5	—	2	90%
Doncaster – Port Vale 1-0	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	4	78%
Oldham – Notts County 3-0	Under 2.5	—	2	60%
Pereira – Cúcuta 2-2	Under 2.5	—	2	85%
Alfreton – Macclesfield 0-2	Away	—	3	72%
Aldershot – Boreham Wood 1-2	Under 2.5	—	2	90%
Boston – Altrincham 2-2	Under 2.5	—	2	60%
Brackley – Braintree 1-1	Under 2.5	—	2	85%

Rank	Bet	Odds	ROI	Confidence
1	Altrincham Win 2-2	3.65	+53%	Strong
2	Braintree Win 1-1	3.80	+41%	Strong
3	Eastleigh Win 0-2	2.95	+9%	Moderate
4	Carlisle Win 0-1	2.45	+10%	Moderate

 

[hercules]

Match	Master Score (A–B)	Combined Total	Gap	Odds (1–X–2)
USM Alger vs JS Kabylie 0-1	60 – 44	104	+16 (A stronger)	2.05 – 2.80 – 4.10
Morecambe vs Hartlepool 2-3	39.5 – 59	98.5	–19.5 (B stronger)	2.75 – 3.45 – 2.40
Scunthorpe vs Rochdale 2-2	40.5 – 68	108.5	–27.5 (B stronger)	3.35 – 3.50 – 2.05
Southend vs Woking 1-1	61.5 – 50	111.5	+11.5 (A stronger)	1.65 – 3.80 – 5.00
Tamworth vs Forest Green 1-0	38.5 – 63	101.5	–24.5 (B stronger)	3.30 – 3.55 – 2.05
Wealdstone vs Yeovil 0-2	59.5 – 42.5	102	+17 (A stronger)	1.93 – 3.40 – 3.90

Match	Primary	Secondary	Units	Confidence
USM Alger vs JSK	Over 2.5	BTTS Yes	3–4	72–78%
Morecambe vs Hartlepool	No totals bet	Draw	1–2	60–66%
Scunthorpe vs Rochdale	Under 2.5	—	2	90%
Southend vs Woking	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	4–5	78–82%
Tamworth vs FGR	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5 + X2 overlay	4 + 1	76–80%
Wealdstone vs Yeovil	Over 2.5	BTTS Yes	3–4	72–78%

ODDS ABOVE 1.65 AND LESS THAN 2.10 everything else no bet

Fixture	Best Bet	Odds	ROI	Verdict
Morecambe vs Hartlepool	None	—	—	No value
Scunthorpe vs Rochdale	None	—	—	No value
Southend vs Woking	None	—	—	No value
Wealdstone vs Yeovil	Yeovil	3.90	Strong value	Bet

 

[hercules]

Match	Combined Master Scores (A–B)	Total Master Score	Gap	Odds (1 / X / 2)
Godoy Cruz R vs San Lorenzo R 0-0	32 – 62	94	30	3.00 / 3.15 / 2.18
Estudiantes RC R vs Rivadavia R 1-1	21.5 – 52	73.5	30.5	2.75 / 2.82 / 2.55
Defensa y Justicia R vs Riestra R 1-1	47.5 – 62	109.5	14.5	2.02 / 2.95 / 3.60
Ferro R vs Central Córdoba R 3-1	37 – 24.5	61.5	12.5	2.05 / 3.20 / 3.20
Independiente R vs Quilmes R 1-1	59 – 47.5	106.5	11.5	1.75 / 3.20 / 4.40
Atlético Rafaela R vs Platense R 0-1	44 – 41.5	85.5	2.5	2.50 / 2.87 / 2.77
Boca Juniors R vs Estudiantes LP R 2-1	72.5 – 48	120.5	24.5	1.78 / 3.20 /

 

[hercules]

Match	Home MS	Away MS	GAP	Total MS	Primary Market	Secondary	Units
Córdoba vs Mirandés 2-2	41.5	35.5	6	77.0	Under 2.5	Upset overlay (X2)	2 + 1
Bray vs Kerry 2-1	64.5	40.0	24.5	104.5	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	4–5
UCD vs Cobh 4-0	51.5	40.5	11	92.0	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5	4–5
Wexford vs Treaty 3-2	41.5	34.5	7	76.0	Under 2.5	—	2

odds 1.65 to 2.10

Match	Recommended Bet	Odds	Adj. Win Prob	Adj. ROI	Strength
Valenciennes vs Aubagne 0-0	Aubagne	3.85	0.312	+20.1%	Strong
Châteauroux vs Concarneau 3-1	Concarneau	2.67	0.437	+16.7%	Strong
Rouen vs Caen 1-1	Caen	4.40	0.245	+7.8%	Medium

 

[hercules]

Fixture	Outcome	Odds	EV
Albacete vs Castellón 1-1	Away (Castellón)	2.40	+0.176
Sporting Gijón vs Deportivo 1-1	Away (Deportivo)	3.10	+0.333

Match	Value Pick	Odds
Excursionistas vs Brown 1-0	Brown de Adrogué	5.00 (x)?
Italiano vs Merlo 2-1	Deportivo Merlo	3.95
Liniers vs Def. Unidos 1-1	Defensores Unidos	3.40
San Martín vs Dock Sud 1-1	CS Dock Sud	3.50
Real Pilar vs Arg. Quilmes 3-2	Argentino de Quilmes	5.00 (x)?
Arg. Merlo vs Talleres R.E. 0-1	No value	—

 

[hercules]

Match	Home Win	Draw	Away Win	Fair Odds (H/D/A)	Value Bet	BTTS	O/U 2.5	Most Likely Score
Los Andes vs Temperley 0-1	34.1%	30.8%	35.2%	2.93 / 3.25 / 2.84	Temperley (strong value)	54%	Under 2.5 (78%)	0–1 / 1–1
Nueva Chicago vs All Boys 0-0	47.8%	23.0%	29.2%	2.09 / 4.35 / 3.42	All Boys (small value)	60%	Under 2.5 (58%)	1–1 / 2–1
Chacarita vs Estudiantes BA 0-3	65.2%	23.0%	11.7%	1.53 / 4.35 / 8.55	None	40%	Under 2.5 (59%)	1–0 / 2–0
Patronato vs Colón 0-2	25.2%	40.6%	34.2%	3.97 / 2.46 / 2.92	Draw (slight value)	48%	Under 2.5 (60%)	1–1
San Telmo vs Quilmes 0-3	41.4%	25.9%	32.7%	2.41 / 3.86 / 3.06	Quilmes (slight value)	65%	Under 2.5 (52%)	1–1
Güemes vs Mitre 2-2	33.0%	31.5%	35.5%	3.03 / 3.17 / 2.82	Mitre (strong value)	55%	Under 2.5 (66%)	1–1 / 0–1
Maipú vs Godoy Cruz 0-1	26.4%	38.9%	34.7%	3.79 / 2.57 / 2.88	None	62%	Under 2.5 (51%)	1–1 / 1–2
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Central Norte 0-1	51.6%	22.7%	25.7%	1.94 / 4.40 / 3.89	None	40%	Under 2.5 (69%)	1–0 / 2–0

κατω απο 1.60 σε under/over/btts no bet

 

[hercules]

Match	Final CPS (H–A)	Model Probabilities (H/D/A)	Market Probabilities (H/D/A)	Value Side	Confidence
Centro Español vs Lugano 1-3	9.9 – 7	43.95% / 25% / 31.05%	47.17% / 34.25% / 29.85%	Lugano 3.30	+1.20%
El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas 2-2	2.2 – 9.9	13.64% / 25% / 61.36%	34.25% / 36.76% / 40%	Sportivo Barracas	+21.36%
Deportivo Muñiz vs Cañuelas 1-1	1.21 – 2	28.27% / 25% / 46.73%	33.33% / 36.36% / 41.32%	Cañuelas	+5.41%

 

[hercules]

League	Match	Predicted Result	Best Value Bet	EV Rating
Spain	Mirandés vs Albacete	1–2 Albacete	Albacete ML @ 3.15	High EV
Spain	Deportivo vs Córdoba	2–0 Deportivo	Deportivo ML @ 1.78	Medium EV
Spain	Valladolid vs Cádiz	1–1 Draw	Cádiz ML @ 6.20	Very High EV
Argentina	Belgrano R vs Lanús R	0–2 Lanús	Lanús ML @ 2.40	Very High EV
Argentina	Riestra R vs Newell’s R	2–1 Riestra	Riestra ML @ 2.75	High EV
Argentina	Colón R vs Rafaela R	0–1 Rafaela	Rafaela ML @ 3.10	High EV
Argentina	Rivadavia R vs Defensa R	1–2 Defensa	Defensa ML @ 3.40	Medium EV
Argentina	Platense R vs Independiente R 2-2	1–2 Independiente	Independiente ML @ 2.25	Small EV

 

[hercules]

Date	Match	Model Pick	Odds	Bet Type	Status
02/04/26	Las Palmas vs Granada	Las Palmas	1.98	Side	2-0
02/04/26	Castellón vs Almería	Draw	3.75	Draw	2-0
02/04/26	Real Sociedad B vs Eibar	Eibar	2.70	Side	0-1
02/04/26	Leganés vs Zaragoza	Draw	3.30	Draw	1-1
01/04/26	FC Andorra vs Málaga	Málaga	3.05	Side	3-3
01/04/26	Burgos vs Ceuta	Burgos	1.78	Side	1-1
01/04/26	Huesca vs Cultural	Draw	3.20	Draw	1-1
01/04/26	Real Racing vs Sporting	Real Racing	1.91	Side	3-1

Time	Home	Away	Prediction	Expected Scorelines	Description
20:00	Las Palmas	Granada	DRAW	1–1, 0–0, 1–2	Two structured, disciplined teams. Las Palmas defend well at home, Granada arrive in strong form. Their styles neutralize each other → tight, controlled match.
21:00	Castellón	Almería	ALMERÍA WIN	1–2, 1–3, 0–2	Castellón’s form is poor, while Almería bring one of the league’s strongest attacks and travel well. Their offensive quality should break Castellón’s mid‑table defense.
21:00	Real Sociedad B	Eibar	EIBAR WIN	0–2, 1–2, 0–1	Eibar are in excellent form and tactically stable. Real Sociedad B concede too easily at home. Model expects Eibar to control the match and take the points.
22:30	Leganés	Real Zaragoza	DRAW	1–1, 0–0, 1–0	Leganés are low‑risk and draw‑heavy at home. Zaragoza are chaotic and inconsistent away. Neither team has a clear edge → balanced, cagey match.

testing

 

[hercules]

Fixture	Lean	Lean Odds	Scores
Macarthur vs Newcastle	Away	1.73	0–3, 1–3
Brisbane vs Sydney	Away	2.15	0–2, 1–2
Bayswater vs Fremantle	Home	1.73	2–0, 2–1
RedStar vs Stirling	Away	2.35	1–2, 0–2
Azzurri vs Dianella	Away	2.25	1–2, 1–3
Fraser Park vs Nepean	Away	2.55	1–2, 1–1
Hawkesbury vs Granville	Away	1.44	0–3, 0–4

 

[hercules]

Match	Draw Model Result	5‑Rule Model Lean	Final Combined Interpretation
Birmingham vs Blackburn 0-1	DRAW CANDIDATE (Strong)	X	Most balanced match. Low‑event. Draw highly viable. Slight home edge.
Charlton vs Bristol City 1-2	NO DRAW (Momentum override)	1	Charlton advantage. Bristol collapse. Home‑leaning, not stable enough for draw.
Leicester vs Preston 2-2	NO DRAW (Chaos)	1	Leicester chaos + stronger attack. Home‑leaning, draw suppressed.
Norwich vs Portsmouth 1-1	NO DRAW (Momentum override)	1	Norwich huge form + structural superiority. Home‑leaning.
Oxford vs Hull 1-1	NO DRAW (High‑event chaos)	2	Hull’s chaos profile + Oxford weak attack. Away‑leaning, unstable for draw.
QPR vs Watford 2-1	NO DRAW (Chaos)	2	QPR chaos reduces draw stability. Watford slightly stronger. Away‑leaning.
Sheffield Utd vs Swansea 3-3	NO DRAW (Chaos)	1	Sheff Utd chaos + Swansea weak attack. Home‑leaning, low draw stability.
Stoke vs Sheffield Wed 2-0	NO DRAW (Momentum override)	1	Stoke structurally superior. Very low draw probability.
West Brom vs Wrexham 2-2	NO DRAW (Chaos)	2	Wrexham chaos + West Brom weak defense. Away‑leaning.
Coventry vs Derby 3-2	DRAW POSSIBLE (Moderate)	1/x	Balanced form but Coventry stronger. Draw possible but home‑leaning.

Top Value Edges​

Rank	Match	Edge
1	Birmingham vs Blackburn	Draw (3.40)
2	West Brom vs Wrexham	Away (3.40)
3	Oxford vs Hull	Away (3.00)
4	QPR vs Watford	Away (2.57)

 

[hercules]

MODEL + VALUE ALIGNMENT TABLE ​

#	Fixture	Model Pick	Odds	Alignment Type
1	VVV‑Venlo vs Cambuur 3-0	Cambuur	1.91	Away Win
2	Dunkerque vs Rodez 1-1	Rodez	3.20	Away Win
3	Gimnasia Mendoza vs Vélez 3-2	Vélez	2.20	Away Win
4	Annecy vs Guingamp 1-0	Draw	3.20	Draw
5	Bastia vs Amiens 1-1	Draw	3.00	Draw
6	Grenoble vs Clermont 2-2	Draw	2.90	Draw
7	Dordrecht vs Roda 0-3	Draw	3.75	Draw
8	Den Bosch vs Jong Utrecht -	Draw	3.80	Draw
9	Eindhoven vs De Graafschap 2-2	De Graafschap	2.35	Away Win
10	Altrincham vs Halifax 0-1	Halifax	2.38	Away Win
11	Vitesse vs Emmen 3-3	Vitesse	1.96	Home Win

 

[hercules]

League	Match	Best Bet	Secondary Bets
Primera Nacional A	Dep. Morón vs San Telmo 1-0	BTTS Yes	Over 2.25, Morón + BTTS
Primera Nacional A	Racing Córdoba vs Ciudad de Bolívar 0-2	Draw @ 2.75	Under 2.25, Bolívar +0.5
Primera Nacional A	Los Andes vs Chaco For Ever 2-0	Under 2.25	Los Andes DNB, Draw
Spain – Primera Federación	FC Andorra vs Racing Santander 6-2	Draw @ 3.50	BTTS, Over 2.5, Andorra +0.5
Spain – Primera Federación	Almería vs Leganés 2-1	Draw @ 4.20	BTTS, Over 2.5, Leganés +1
Netherlands	Heerenveen vs Heracles 4-1	Heerenveen win	Over 2.5, Heerenveen -1
UAE Pro League	Al‑Sharjah vs Al‑Wasl 2-1	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5, Over 3.5, Wasl + BTTS

 

[syllektikos]

League	Match	Best Bet	Secondary Bets
Primera Nacional A	Dep. Morón vs San Telmo	BTTS Yes	Over 2.25, Morón + BTTS
Primera Nacional A	Racing Córdoba vs Ciudad de Bolívar	Draw @ 2.75	Under 2.25, Bolívar +0.5
Primera Nacional A	Los Andes vs Chaco For Ever	Under 2.25	Los Andes DNB, Draw
Spain – Primera Federación	FC Andorra vs Racing Santander	Draw @ 3.50	BTTS, Over 2.5, Andorra +0.5
Spain – Primera Federación	Almería vs Leganés	Draw @ 4.20	BTTS, Over 2.5, Leganés +1
Netherlands	Heerenveen vs Heracles	Heerenveen win	Over 2.5, Heerenveen -1
UAE Pro League	Al‑Sharjah vs Al‑Wasl	BTTS Yes	Over 2.5, Over 3.5, Wasl + BTTS

ματσάρα το ολλανδικό, πολλά γκολ, φοβερό για λαιβ στοίχημα. Καλή συνέχεια.

Χέρενφεν - Χέρακλες 4:1

ΟΛΛΑΝΔΙΑ: Ερεντιβίζιε - Αγωνιστική ημέρα: 29

www.flashscore.gr

 

[hercules]

Match	Goal Value	Upset Value	Best Angles
Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd 1-0	High	Medium (Sheff Utd)	BTTS, Over 2.5, Sheff Utd ML
Derby vs Stoke 2-0	Low	Low	Under 2.5, Draw
Ipswich vs Birmingham 2-1	Low	Low	Ipswich ML, Ipswich Win to Nil
Preston vs QPR 1-1	High	Medium (QPR)	BTTS, Over 2.5, QPR ML
Sheffield Wed vs Leicester 1-1	Very High	Medium (Sheff Wed +1.5)	Over 2.5, Over 3.5, Leicester TT 1.5
Watford vs Charlton 1-1	High	Medium (Charlton)	BTTS, Over 2.5
Swansea vs Middlesbrough 2-2	Low	Low	Middlesbrough ML, Under 3.5
Hull vs Coventry 0-0	Very High	Very High (Coventry)	BTTS, Over 2.5, Coventry ML